The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–24 °C reflects consensus among global forecast models for a Chengdu minimum temperature in that narrow band under partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds on September 1. The Sichuan Basin’s topography promotes nocturnal radiative cooling and occasional inversions that trap cooler air near the surface, while slight differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and dew points create the observed spread across ensemble members. Current high-pressure influence supports typical early-September cooling toward the seasonal average low near 21 °C, with resolution hinging on official station observations once the 24-hour period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
19°C or below 10%
21°C 10%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
10%
20°C
1%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 10%
21°C 10%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$74 ปริมาณ
10%
20°C
$99 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C
$50 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$40 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$53 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–24 °C reflects consensus among global forecast models for a Chengdu minimum temperature in that narrow band under partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds on September 1. The Sichuan Basin’s topography promotes nocturnal radiative cooling and occasional inversions that trap cooler air near the surface, while slight differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and dew points create the observed spread across ensemble members. Current high-pressure influence supports typical early-September cooling toward the seasonal average low near 21 °C, with resolution hinging on official station observations once the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$361วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–24 °C reflects consensus among global forecast models for a Chengdu minimum temperature in that narrow band under partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds on September 1. The Sichuan Basin’s topography promotes nocturnal radiative cooling and occasional inversions that trap cooler air near the surface, while slight differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and dew points create the observed spread across ensemble members. Current high-pressure influence supports typical early-September cooling toward the seasonal average low near 21 °C, with resolution hinging on official station observations once the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$361วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–24 °C reflects consensus among global forecast models for a Chengdu minimum temperature in that narrow band under partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds on September 1. The Sichuan Basin’s topography promotes nocturnal radiative cooling and occasional inversions that trap cooler air near the surface, while slight differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and dew points create the observed spread across ensemble members. Current high-pressure influence supports typical early-September cooling toward the seasonal average low near 21 °C, with resolution hinging on official station observations once the 24-hour period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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