**Forecast consensus for Denver’s overnight low on September 1 centers on the upper 50s to low 60s°F, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 60–65°F bins.** Multiple short-range guidance products as of August 31 show the city under a post-frontal air mass with mostly clear skies after any evening activity, promoting efficient radiational cooling under light winds. Highs are expected in the low-to-mid 80s with dew points in the 50s, supporting minimum temperatures in the 58–62°F range; some model runs and local forecasts edge slightly cooler near 58–59°F while others hold near 60–61°F. This narrow spread, combined with normal early-September climatology (historical average low near 55°F) and the absence of strong cold advection or widespread cloud cover, keeps the 60–63°F, 64–65°F, and 60–61°F outcomes nearly tied. Traders are effectively pricing the residual uncertainty in exact model timing of clearing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major shift in the broader pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Denver on September 1?
62-63°F 35%
64-65°F 32%
60-61°F 29%
58-59°F 26%
53°F or below
3%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 35%
64-65°F 32%
60-61°F 29%
58-59°F 26%
53°F or below
3%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Denver’s overnight low on September 1 centers on the upper 50s to low 60s°F, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 60–65°F bins.** Multiple short-range guidance products as of August 31 show the city under a post-frontal air mass with mostly clear skies after any evening activity, promoting efficient radiational cooling under light winds. Highs are expected in the low-to-mid 80s with dew points in the 50s, supporting minimum temperatures in the 58–62°F range; some model runs and local forecasts edge slightly cooler near 58–59°F while others hold near 60–61°F. This narrow spread, combined with normal early-September climatology (historical average low near 55°F) and the absence of strong cold advection or widespread cloud cover, keeps the 60–63°F, 64–65°F, and 60–61°F outcomes nearly tied. Traders are effectively pricing the residual uncertainty in exact model timing of clearing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major shift in the broader pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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