Current forecasts from major meteorological models point to a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 1 in the 18–21 °C range under clear, high-pressure conditions that limit cloud cover and promote some nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds overnight, keeping the market-implied probabilities highest for 16 °C or below and 17 °C. These outcomes align with the lower end of model runs and historical early-September minima near the city’s average of roughly 17–19 °C. Updated short-range model outputs and official agency briefings expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
16°C or below 44%
17°C 30%
18°C 25%
19°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
44%
17°C
30%
18°C
25%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 44%
17°C 30%
18°C 25%
19°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$20 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$300 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological models point to a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 1 in the 18–21 °C range under clear, high-pressure conditions that limit cloud cover and promote some nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds overnight, keeping the market-implied probabilities highest for 16 °C or below and 17 °C. These outcomes align with the lower end of model runs and historical early-September minima near the city’s average of roughly 17–19 °C. Updated short-range model outputs and official agency briefings expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$360วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological models point to a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 1 in the 18–21 °C range under clear, high-pressure conditions that limit cloud cover and promote some nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds overnight, keeping the market-implied probabilities highest for 16 °C or below and 17 °C. These outcomes align with the lower end of model runs and historical early-September minima near the city’s average of roughly 17–19 °C. Updated short-range model outputs and official agency briefings expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$360วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major meteorological models point to a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 1 in the 18–21 °C range under clear, high-pressure conditions that limit cloud cover and promote some nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds overnight, keeping the market-implied probabilities highest for 16 °C or below and 17 °C. These outcomes align with the lower end of model runs and historical early-September minima near the city’s average of roughly 17–19 °C. Updated short-range model outputs and official agency briefings expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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