Current forecast consensus from models including GFS places the overnight low in Paris on September 1 near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting the market-implied probabilities of 48 % for 14 °C and 33 % for 15 °C. These values align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 13.2 °C while reflecting slightly reduced radiative cooling from cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest downside risk to 13 °C or upside to 16 °C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and Météo-France guidance heavily as resolution nears, with final official observations from Paris-Montsouris expected to determine the outcome within the next 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
14°C 48%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
16°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
7%
13°C
22%
14°C
48%
15°C
33%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 48%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
16°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
$207 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$172 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$195 ปริมาณ
5%
12°C
$123 ปริมาณ
7%
13°C
$298 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C
$839 ปริมาณ
48%
15°C
$186 ปริมาณ
33%
16°C
$157 ปริมาณ
9%
17°C
$99 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C
$202 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C or higher
$72 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including GFS places the overnight low in Paris on September 1 near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting the market-implied probabilities of 48 % for 14 °C and 33 % for 15 °C. These values align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 13.2 °C while reflecting slightly reduced radiative cooling from cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest downside risk to 13 °C or upside to 16 °C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and Météo-France guidance heavily as resolution nears, with final official observations from Paris-Montsouris expected to determine the outcome within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,549วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including GFS places the overnight low in Paris on September 1 near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting the market-implied probabilities of 48 % for 14 °C and 33 % for 15 °C. These values align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 13.2 °C while reflecting slightly reduced radiative cooling from cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest downside risk to 13 °C or upside to 16 °C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and Météo-France guidance heavily as resolution nears, with final official observations from Paris-Montsouris expected to determine the outcome within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,549วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models including GFS places the overnight low in Paris on September 1 near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting the market-implied probabilities of 48 % for 14 °C and 33 % for 15 °C. These values align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 13.2 °C while reflecting slightly reduced radiative cooling from cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest downside risk to 13 °C or upside to 16 °C depending on exact timing of any clearing. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and Météo-France guidance heavily as resolution nears, with final official observations from Paris-Montsouris expected to determine the outcome within the next 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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