**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1, 2026, centers on 23°C (68% implied probability) and 24°C (27%), reflecting strong model consensus around typical early-September overnight lows.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple international models (including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in aggregated outlooks) indicate a minimum near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Current conditions on August 31 show temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius overnight, consistent with seasonal baselines where early-September minima average 22–24°C. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky episodes are expected to push readings lower, while the absence of strong daytime heating or frontal systems keeps the distribution tightly clustered. This scientific consensus—backed by real-capital trader positioning—explains the heavy weighting toward 23°C, with 24°C as the main alternative if slight variations in cloud cover or wind occur. Upcoming JMA updates and final observational data from Tokyo stations will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
23°C 68%
24°C 27%
21°C 2%
22°C 1.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
68%
24°C
27%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 68%
24°C 27%
21°C 2%
22°C 1.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$309 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$263 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$513 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$790 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$527 ปริมาณ
68%
24°C
$625 ปริมาณ
27%
25°C
$1,885 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$538 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,034 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$974 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$124 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1, 2026, centers on 23°C (68% implied probability) and 24°C (27%), reflecting strong model consensus around typical early-September overnight lows.**
Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple international models (including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in aggregated outlooks) indicate a minimum near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Current conditions on August 31 show temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius overnight, consistent with seasonal baselines where early-September minima average 22–24°C.
No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky episodes are expected to push readings lower, while the absence of strong daytime heating or frontal systems keeps the distribution tightly clustered. This scientific consensus—backed by real-capital trader positioning—explains the heavy weighting toward 23°C, with 24°C as the main alternative if slight variations in cloud cover or wind occur. Upcoming JMA updates and final observational data from Tokyo stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,581วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1, 2026, centers on 23°C (68% implied probability) and 24°C (27%), reflecting strong model consensus around typical early-September overnight lows.**
Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple international models (including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in aggregated outlooks) indicate a minimum near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Current conditions on August 31 show temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius overnight, consistent with seasonal baselines where early-September minima average 22–24°C.
No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky episodes are expected to push readings lower, while the absence of strong daytime heating or frontal systems keeps the distribution tightly clustered. This scientific consensus—backed by real-capital trader positioning—explains the heavy weighting toward 23°C, with 24°C as the main alternative if slight variations in cloud cover or wind occur. Upcoming JMA updates and final observational data from Tokyo stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,581วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1, 2026, centers on 23°C (68% implied probability) and 24°C (27%), reflecting strong model consensus around typical early-September overnight lows.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple international models (including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in aggregated outlooks) indicate a minimum near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Current conditions on August 31 show temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius overnight, consistent with seasonal baselines where early-September minima average 22–24°C. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky episodes are expected to push readings lower, while the absence of strong daytime heating or frontal systems keeps the distribution tightly clustered. This scientific consensus—backed by real-capital trader positioning—explains the heavy weighting toward 23°C, with 24°C as the main alternative if slight variations in cloud cover or wind occur. Upcoming JMA updates and final observational data from Tokyo stations will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย