Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured the nomination with over 92% in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election for Maryland’s 8th Congressional District. The race carries Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, consistent with the district’s strong Democratic lean in Montgomery and Prince George’s counties and the state’s broader partisan profile. Raskin’s substantial fundraising edge and established record contribute to trader consensus reflected in the 95.3% Democratic probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or extreme national swing altering turnout patterns, though structural advantages make such changes improbable before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$27,422 ปริมาณ
$27,422 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$27,422 ปริมาณ
$27,422 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,895 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$8,528 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured the nomination with over 92% in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election for Maryland’s 8th Congressional District. The race carries Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, consistent with the district’s strong Democratic lean in Montgomery and Prince George’s counties and the state’s broader partisan profile. Raskin’s substantial fundraising edge and established record contribute to trader consensus reflected in the 95.3% Democratic probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or extreme national swing altering turnout patterns, though structural advantages make such changes improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,422วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured the nomination with over 92% in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election for Maryland’s 8th Congressional District. The race carries Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, consistent with the district’s strong Democratic lean in Montgomery and Prince George’s counties and the state’s broader partisan profile. Raskin’s substantial fundraising edge and established record contribute to trader consensus reflected in the 95.3% Democratic probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or extreme national swing altering turnout patterns, though structural advantages make such changes improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,422วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured the nomination with over 92% in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election for Maryland’s 8th Congressional District. The race carries Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, consistent with the district’s strong Democratic lean in Montgomery and Prince George’s counties and the state’s broader partisan profile. Raskin’s substantial fundraising edge and established record contribute to trader consensus reflected in the 95.3% Democratic probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or extreme national swing altering turnout patterns, though structural advantages make such changes improbable before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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