Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 4th congressional district in the June 23, 2026 primary with 79% of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him to face Republican George McDermott in the November general election. The district, centered in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, including Ivey’s 88% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting history, Ivey’s fundraising advantage, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling movement. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while leaving room for low-probability disruptions such as a late scandal, health event, or broader national realignment that could alter turnout patterns before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$47,101 ปริมาณ
$47,101 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Glenn Ivey (D)
97%
George McDermott (R)
<1%
$47,101 ปริมาณ
$47,101 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Glenn Ivey (D)
$21,397 ปริมาณ
97%
George McDermott (R)
$25,705 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 4th congressional district in the June 23, 2026 primary with 79% of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him to face Republican George McDermott in the November general election. The district, centered in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, including Ivey’s 88% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting history, Ivey’s fundraising advantage, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling movement. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while leaving room for low-probability disruptions such as a late scandal, health event, or broader national realignment that could alter turnout patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,101วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 4th congressional district in the June 23, 2026 primary with 79% of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him to face Republican George McDermott in the November general election. The district, centered in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, including Ivey’s 88% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting history, Ivey’s fundraising advantage, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling movement. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while leaving room for low-probability disruptions such as a late scandal, health event, or broader national realignment that could alter turnout patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,101วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 4th congressional district in the June 23, 2026 primary with 79% of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him to face Republican George McDermott in the November general election. The district, centered in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, including Ivey’s 88% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting history, Ivey’s fundraising advantage, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling movement. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while leaving room for low-probability disruptions such as a late scandal, health event, or broader national realignment that could alter turnout patterns before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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