Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana’s open U.S. Senate race due to the state’s consistent Republican advantage in recent federal elections and the persistent split between Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, who together divide non-Republican support in every recent poll. Alme secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primary, where Alme prevailed decisively. Multiple surveys through early August show Alme ahead by double digits, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Likely Republican. The November outcome could shift only if one of the leading challengers exits to consolidate opposition votes, or through late developments such as major scandals or significant turnout changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMontana Senate Election Winner
Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican 91%
Independent 8.1%
Democrat <1%
$118,101 ปริมาณ
$118,101 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
91%
Independent
8%
Democrat
1%
Republican 91%
Independent 8.1%
Democrat <1%
$118,101 ปริมาณ
$118,101 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$59,607 ปริมาณ
91%
Independent
$18,012 ปริมาณ
8%
Democrat
$40,482 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana’s open U.S. Senate race due to the state’s consistent Republican advantage in recent federal elections and the persistent split between Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, who together divide non-Republican support in every recent poll. Alme secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primary, where Alme prevailed decisively. Multiple surveys through early August show Alme ahead by double digits, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Likely Republican. The November outcome could shift only if one of the leading challengers exits to consolidate opposition votes, or through late developments such as major scandals or significant turnout changes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$118,101วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana’s open U.S. Senate race due to the state’s consistent Republican advantage in recent federal elections and the persistent split between Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, who together divide non-Republican support in every recent poll. Alme secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primary, where Alme prevailed decisively. Multiple surveys through early August show Alme ahead by double digits, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Likely Republican. The November outcome could shift only if one of the leading challengers exits to consolidate opposition votes, or through late developments such as major scandals or significant turnout changes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$118,101วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana’s open U.S. Senate race due to the state’s consistent Republican advantage in recent federal elections and the persistent split between Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, who together divide non-Republican support in every recent poll. Alme secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primary, where Alme prevailed decisively. Multiple surveys through early August show Alme ahead by double digits, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Likely Republican. The November outcome could shift only if one of the leading challengers exits to consolidate opposition votes, or through late developments such as major scandals or significant turnout changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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