Incumbent Chris Smith holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Republican lean and his decades-long tenure. The district, which encompasses parts of Monmouth and Ocean counties, carries an R+14 Partisan Voter Index and delivered strong Republican margins in recent presidential voting. Smith, unopposed in the June primary and seeking a 24th term after winning 67% in 2024, maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Rachel Peace, who prevailed in her primary but operates with limited resources. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major national shifts, health incidents, or unforeseen scandals could still influence outcomes in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-04 House Election Winner
NJ-04 House Election Winner
$19,141 ปริมาณ
$19,141 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Smith (R)
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
5%
$19,141 ปริมาณ
$19,141 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Smith (R)
$6,168 ปริมาณ
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
$12,973 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Chris Smith holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Republican lean and his decades-long tenure. The district, which encompasses parts of Monmouth and Ocean counties, carries an R+14 Partisan Voter Index and delivered strong Republican margins in recent presidential voting. Smith, unopposed in the June primary and seeking a 24th term after winning 67% in 2024, maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Rachel Peace, who prevailed in her primary but operates with limited resources. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major national shifts, health incidents, or unforeseen scandals could still influence outcomes in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,141วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Chris Smith holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Republican lean and his decades-long tenure. The district, which encompasses parts of Monmouth and Ocean counties, carries an R+14 Partisan Voter Index and delivered strong Republican margins in recent presidential voting. Smith, unopposed in the June primary and seeking a 24th term after winning 67% in 2024, maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Rachel Peace, who prevailed in her primary but operates with limited resources. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major national shifts, health incidents, or unforeseen scandals could still influence outcomes in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,141วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Chris Smith holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Republican lean and his decades-long tenure. The district, which encompasses parts of Monmouth and Ocean counties, carries an R+14 Partisan Voter Index and delivered strong Republican margins in recent presidential voting. Smith, unopposed in the June primary and seeking a 24th term after winning 67% in 2024, maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Rachel Peace, who prevailed in her primary but operates with limited resources. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major national shifts, health incidents, or unforeseen scandals could still influence outcomes in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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