**Andrew Garbarino’s incumbency in the solidly Republican New York 2nd district, combined with his substantial fundraising edge and consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican incumbent.** Garbarino, chair of the House Homeland Security Committee, has highlighted AI-related national security risks in a recent report and addressed 9/11 anniversary concerns about preparedness, reinforcing his profile ahead of the November 3 general election. Patrick Halpin, the Democratic nominee and former Suffolk County executive, cleared a contested primary field but trails significantly in reported fundraising. The district’s South Shore Long Island composition and Garbarino’s 2024 margin continue to limit Democratic competitiveness in this cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,705 ปริมาณ
$17,705 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
14%
$17,705 ปริมาณ
$17,705 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
$7,164 ปริมาณ
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
$10,541 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Andrew Garbarino’s incumbency in the solidly Republican New York 2nd district, combined with his substantial fundraising edge and consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican incumbent.** Garbarino, chair of the House Homeland Security Committee, has highlighted AI-related national security risks in a recent report and addressed 9/11 anniversary concerns about preparedness, reinforcing his profile ahead of the November 3 general election. Patrick Halpin, the Democratic nominee and former Suffolk County executive, cleared a contested primary field but trails significantly in reported fundraising. The district’s South Shore Long Island composition and Garbarino’s 2024 margin continue to limit Democratic competitiveness in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,705วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Andrew Garbarino’s incumbency in the solidly Republican New York 2nd district, combined with his substantial fundraising edge and consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican incumbent.** Garbarino, chair of the House Homeland Security Committee, has highlighted AI-related national security risks in a recent report and addressed 9/11 anniversary concerns about preparedness, reinforcing his profile ahead of the November 3 general election. Patrick Halpin, the Democratic nominee and former Suffolk County executive, cleared a contested primary field but trails significantly in reported fundraising. The district’s South Shore Long Island composition and Garbarino’s 2024 margin continue to limit Democratic competitiveness in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,705วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...**Andrew Garbarino’s incumbency in the solidly Republican New York 2nd district, combined with his substantial fundraising edge and consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican incumbent.** Garbarino, chair of the House Homeland Security Committee, has highlighted AI-related national security risks in a recent report and addressed 9/11 anniversary concerns about preparedness, reinforcing his profile ahead of the November 3 general election. Patrick Halpin, the Democratic nominee and former Suffolk County executive, cleared a contested primary field but trails significantly in reported fundraising. The district’s South Shore Long Island composition and Garbarino’s 2024 margin continue to limit Democratic competitiveness in this cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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