Recent producer price trends and persistent input cost pressures have driven the 5.1% or higher outcome for August 2026 PPI YoY to a 70.5% market-implied probability. Elevated energy and materials costs, alongside steady wage growth in a tight labor market, have kept upward momentum in producer inflation above consensus forecasts. This pricing reflects aggregated trader positioning ahead of the mid-September release, with recent CPI readings and commodity benchmarks reinforcing expectations of sticky inflation. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming retail sales figures and labor market data that could shift the implied rate path or Treasury yield expectations if they deviate from current baselines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPPI YoY - August 2026
5.1%+ 71%
4.9% 5.5%
5.0% 4.9%
4.8% 4.5%
$18,626 ปริมาณ
$18,626 ปริมาณ
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
2%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
5%
4.9%
6%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
71%
5.1%+ 71%
4.9% 5.5%
5.0% 4.9%
4.8% 4.5%
$18,626 ปริมาณ
$18,626 ปริมาณ
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
2%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
5%
4.9%
6%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
71%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent producer price trends and persistent input cost pressures have driven the 5.1% or higher outcome for August 2026 PPI YoY to a 70.5% market-implied probability. Elevated energy and materials costs, alongside steady wage growth in a tight labor market, have kept upward momentum in producer inflation above consensus forecasts. This pricing reflects aggregated trader positioning ahead of the mid-September release, with recent CPI readings and commodity benchmarks reinforcing expectations of sticky inflation. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming retail sales figures and labor market data that could shift the implied rate path or Treasury yield expectations if they deviate from current baselines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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