Recent model releases and leaderboard shifts on arena.ai's Code Arena WebDev have fragmented trader sentiment around the second-ranked AI lab by late November 2026. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra recently claimed the top Elo score near 1800 through strong agentic coding on frontend tasks, while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants sit close behind at around 1758, supported by consistent multi-step reasoning and tool-use performance. Chinese labs including Alibaba's Qwen, Moonshot's Kimi K3, and DeepSeek models have narrowed gaps to within 100-150 Elo points via rapid iterations on web development workflows, creating uncertainty over which will hold or claim second place amid ongoing votes exceeding 679,000. New releases, benchmark updates, and developer adoption before the November 30 resolution could still reorder the proprietary and open-weight contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 43%
OpenAI 24%
Google 14%
Z.ai 9.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
43%
OpenAI
24%
14%
Z.ai
10%
DeepSeek
9%
Alibaba
8%
Meta
7%
ByteDance
5%
SpaceXAI
4%
MiniMax
4%
Moonshot
3%
Xiaomi
3%
Poolside
3%
Mistral
2%
Thinky
2%
Tencent
8%
Anthropic 43%
OpenAI 24%
Google 14%
Z.ai 9.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$962 ปริมาณ
43%
OpenAI
$918 ปริมาณ
24%
$232 ปริมาณ
14%
Z.ai
$80 ปริมาณ
10%
DeepSeek
$63 ปริมาณ
9%
Alibaba
$87 ปริมาณ
8%
Meta
$121 ปริมาณ
7%
ByteDance
$184 ปริมาณ
5%
SpaceXAI
$80 ปริมาณ
4%
MiniMax
$91 ปริมาณ
4%
Moonshot
$80 ปริมาณ
3%
Xiaomi
$238 ปริมาณ
3%
Poolside
$80 ปริมาณ
3%
Mistral
$237 ปริมาณ
2%
Thinky
$90 ปริมาณ
2%
Tencent
$83 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and leaderboard shifts on arena.ai's Code Arena WebDev have fragmented trader sentiment around the second-ranked AI lab by late November 2026. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra recently claimed the top Elo score near 1800 through strong agentic coding on frontend tasks, while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants sit close behind at around 1758, supported by consistent multi-step reasoning and tool-use performance. Chinese labs including Alibaba's Qwen, Moonshot's Kimi K3, and DeepSeek models have narrowed gaps to within 100-150 Elo points via rapid iterations on web development workflows, creating uncertainty over which will hold or claim second place amid ongoing votes exceeding 679,000. New releases, benchmark updates, and developer adoption before the November 30 resolution could still reorder the proprietary and open-weight contenders.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,624วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and leaderboard shifts on arena.ai's Code Arena WebDev have fragmented trader sentiment around the second-ranked AI lab by late November 2026. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra recently claimed the top Elo score near 1800 through strong agentic coding on frontend tasks, while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants sit close behind at around 1758, supported by consistent multi-step reasoning and tool-use performance. Chinese labs including Alibaba's Qwen, Moonshot's Kimi K3, and DeepSeek models have narrowed gaps to within 100-150 Elo points via rapid iterations on web development workflows, creating uncertainty over which will hold or claim second place amid ongoing votes exceeding 679,000. New releases, benchmark updates, and developer adoption before the November 30 resolution could still reorder the proprietary and open-weight contenders.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,624วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and leaderboard shifts on arena.ai's Code Arena WebDev have fragmented trader sentiment around the second-ranked AI lab by late November 2026. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra recently claimed the top Elo score near 1800 through strong agentic coding on frontend tasks, while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants sit close behind at around 1758, supported by consistent multi-step reasoning and tool-use performance. Chinese labs including Alibaba's Qwen, Moonshot's Kimi K3, and DeepSeek models have narrowed gaps to within 100-150 Elo points via rapid iterations on web development workflows, creating uncertainty over which will hold or claim second place amid ongoing votes exceeding 679,000. New releases, benchmark updates, and developer adoption before the November 30 resolution could still reorder the proprietary and open-weight contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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