Trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus release reflects tight uncertainty driven by unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 testing and routing signals in platforms like Microsoft Foundry, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and September 1 Fable 5.1 update. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—roughly every 4–8 weeks—combined with competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models fuels expectations for a late-September drop, though no official model card, benchmarks, or pricing has appeared. The closely matched probabilities for September 22–25 versus no release by month-end highlight swing factors like internal testing timelines, safety reviews, and potential last-minute announcements at developer events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSeptember 24 21%
No release by September 30 20%
September 22 18%
September 25 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
September 18
7%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
6%
September 22
18%
September 23
10%
September 24
21%
September 25
12%
September 26
1%
September 27
1%
September 28
7%
September 29
8%
September 30
7%
No release by September 30
20%
September 24 21%
No release by September 30 20%
September 22 18%
September 25 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
September 18
$156 ปริมาณ
7%
September 19
$603 ปริมาณ
1%
September 20
$624 ปริมาณ
1%
September 21
$134 ปริมาณ
6%
September 22
$579 ปริมาณ
18%
September 23
$803 ปริมาณ
10%
September 24
$1,002 ปริมาณ
21%
September 25
$132 ปริมาณ
12%
September 26
$553 ปริมาณ
1%
September 27
$553 ปริมาณ
1%
September 28
$224 ปริมาณ
7%
September 29
$738 ปริมาณ
8%
September 30
$430 ปริมาณ
7%
No release by September 30
$1,440 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus release reflects tight uncertainty driven by unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 testing and routing signals in platforms like Microsoft Foundry, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and September 1 Fable 5.1 update. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—roughly every 4–8 weeks—combined with competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models fuels expectations for a late-September drop, though no official model card, benchmarks, or pricing has appeared. The closely matched probabilities for September 22–25 versus no release by month-end highlight swing factors like internal testing timelines, safety reviews, and potential last-minute announcements at developer events.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,743วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus release reflects tight uncertainty driven by unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 testing and routing signals in platforms like Microsoft Foundry, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and September 1 Fable 5.1 update. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—roughly every 4–8 weeks—combined with competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models fuels expectations for a late-September drop, though no official model card, benchmarks, or pricing has appeared. The closely matched probabilities for September 22–25 versus no release by month-end highlight swing factors like internal testing timelines, safety reviews, and potential last-minute announcements at developer events.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,743วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus release reflects tight uncertainty driven by unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 testing and routing signals in platforms like Microsoft Foundry, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and September 1 Fable 5.1 update. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—roughly every 4–8 weeks—combined with competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models fuels expectations for a late-September drop, though no official model card, benchmarks, or pricing has appeared. The closely matched probabilities for September 22–25 versus no release by month-end highlight swing factors like internal testing timelines, safety reviews, and potential last-minute announcements at developer events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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