Republican Craig Goldman, the incumbent, holds a commanding position in Texas’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman. The seat carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, with Donald Trump carrying the district by double digits in 2024 and Goldman winning his prior race by a similar margin. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent conservative lean in western Tarrant and Parker counties, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Goldman’s unopposed primary win. Trader consensus at 93% Republican probability tracks these structural factors and the absence of recent events that would alter the baseline. A broad national Democratic surge, late personal or fundraising developments for either candidate, or unusually high turnout shifts remain the main variables that could narrow the margin, though current indicators show little movement in those directions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
$33,221 ปริมาณ
$33,221 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$33,221 ปริมาณ
$33,221 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,862 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$16,358 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Craig Goldman, the incumbent, holds a commanding position in Texas’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman. The seat carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, with Donald Trump carrying the district by double digits in 2024 and Goldman winning his prior race by a similar margin. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent conservative lean in western Tarrant and Parker counties, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Goldman’s unopposed primary win. Trader consensus at 93% Republican probability tracks these structural factors and the absence of recent events that would alter the baseline. A broad national Democratic surge, late personal or fundraising developments for either candidate, or unusually high turnout shifts remain the main variables that could narrow the margin, though current indicators show little movement in those directions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,221วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Craig Goldman, the incumbent, holds a commanding position in Texas’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman. The seat carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, with Donald Trump carrying the district by double digits in 2024 and Goldman winning his prior race by a similar margin. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent conservative lean in western Tarrant and Parker counties, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Goldman’s unopposed primary win. Trader consensus at 93% Republican probability tracks these structural factors and the absence of recent events that would alter the baseline. A broad national Democratic surge, late personal or fundraising developments for either candidate, or unusually high turnout shifts remain the main variables that could narrow the margin, though current indicators show little movement in those directions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,221วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Craig Goldman, the incumbent, holds a commanding position in Texas’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman. The seat carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, with Donald Trump carrying the district by double digits in 2024 and Goldman winning his prior race by a similar margin. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent conservative lean in western Tarrant and Parker counties, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Goldman’s unopposed primary win. Trader consensus at 93% Republican probability tracks these structural factors and the absence of recent events that would alter the baseline. A broad national Democratic surge, late personal or fundraising developments for either candidate, or unusually high turnout shifts remain the main variables that could narrow the margin, though current indicators show little movement in those directions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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