The Texas 26th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the 2025 mid-decade redistricting that expanded GOP-leaning areas in Denton, Cooke, and Wise counties, underpins the 91% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Brandon Gill secured the Republican nomination with over 91% in the March primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced narrowly from his contest. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on the district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024. The general election on November 3 features limited polling and a projected double-digit Republican edge. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-26 House Election Winner
TX-26 House Election Winner
$29,155 ปริมาณ
$29,155 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$29,155 ปริมาณ
$29,155 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,771 ปริมาณ
91%
Democratic Party
$9,385 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 26th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the 2025 mid-decade redistricting that expanded GOP-leaning areas in Denton, Cooke, and Wise counties, underpins the 91% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Brandon Gill secured the Republican nomination with over 91% in the March primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced narrowly from his contest. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on the district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024. The general election on November 3 features limited polling and a projected double-digit Republican edge. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,155วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 26th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the 2025 mid-decade redistricting that expanded GOP-leaning areas in Denton, Cooke, and Wise counties, underpins the 91% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Brandon Gill secured the Republican nomination with over 91% in the March primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced narrowly from his contest. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on the district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024. The general election on November 3 features limited polling and a projected double-digit Republican edge. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,155วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 26th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the 2025 mid-decade redistricting that expanded GOP-leaning areas in Denton, Cooke, and Wise counties, underpins the 91% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Brandon Gill secured the Republican nomination with over 91% in the March primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced narrowly from his contest. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on the district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024. The general election on November 3 features limited polling and a projected double-digit Republican edge. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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