**Trader consensus in this multi-outcome Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to figures such as John Brennan and Mahmoud Khalil, with most other listed individuals priced well below 20% for arrest by December 31, 2026.** The short resolution window limits upside for many outcomes, as traders weigh ongoing DOJ and ICE enforcement priorities against the absence of active warrants or indictments that would trigger near-term custody for the named individuals. Recent federal actions have centered on immigration operations, fraud prosecutions, and select protest-related cases, yet these have not produced confirmed developments directly advancing arrests for the leading market names. Congressional scrutiny, court rulings on prior investigations, and any new charges against former officials or activists remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$411,134 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
9%
John Brennan
22%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
11%
Adam Schiff
2%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
9%
Mahmoud Khalil
21%
James Clapper
10%
Letitia James
9%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
8%
Susan Rice
11%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
2%
Tom Homan
5%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
11%
Lisa Cook
3%
Lee Jun-seok
12%
Joe Biden
1%
$411,134 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
$164,421 ปริมาณ
9%
John Brennan
$22,244 ปริมาณ
22%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$23,455 ปริมาณ
11%
Adam Schiff
$16,570 ปริมาณ
2%
Barack Obama
$29,276 ปริมาณ
2%
James Comey
$10,293 ปริมาณ
9%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,329 ปริมาณ
21%
James Clapper
$6,996 ปริมาณ
10%
Letitia James
$3,047 ปริมาณ
9%
Hillary Clinton
$26,172 ปริมาณ
2%
Bill Clinton
$2,726 ปริมาณ
1%
Loretta Lynch
$2,411 ปริมาณ
8%
Susan Rice
$304 ปริมาณ
11%
Candace Owens
$268 ปริมาณ
7%
Gavin Newsom
$39,416 ปริมาณ
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,936 ปริมาณ
5%
John Kerry
$503 ปริมาณ
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,189 ปริมาณ
2%
Tom Homan
$41,331 ปริมาณ
5%
Kash Patel
$598 ปริมาณ
1%
Brandon Johnson
$3,284 ปริมาณ
11%
Lisa Cook
$4,005 ปริมาณ
3%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 ปริมาณ
12%
Joe Biden
$7,565 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus in this multi-outcome Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to figures such as John Brennan and Mahmoud Khalil, with most other listed individuals priced well below 20% for arrest by December 31, 2026.** The short resolution window limits upside for many outcomes, as traders weigh ongoing DOJ and ICE enforcement priorities against the absence of active warrants or indictments that would trigger near-term custody for the named individuals. Recent federal actions have centered on immigration operations, fraud prosecutions, and select protest-related cases, yet these have not produced confirmed developments directly advancing arrests for the leading market names. Congressional scrutiny, court rulings on prior investigations, and any new charges against former officials or activists remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$411,134ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus in this multi-outcome Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to figures such as John Brennan and Mahmoud Khalil, with most other listed individuals priced well below 20% for arrest by December 31, 2026.** The short resolution window limits upside for many outcomes, as traders weigh ongoing DOJ and ICE enforcement priorities against the absence of active warrants or indictments that would trigger near-term custody for the named individuals. Recent federal actions have centered on immigration operations, fraud prosecutions, and select protest-related cases, yet these have not produced confirmed developments directly advancing arrests for the leading market names. Congressional scrutiny, court rulings on prior investigations, and any new charges against former officials or activists remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$411,134ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus in this multi-outcome Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to figures such as John Brennan and Mahmoud Khalil, with most other listed individuals priced well below 20% for arrest by December 31, 2026.** The short resolution window limits upside for many outcomes, as traders weigh ongoing DOJ and ICE enforcement priorities against the absence of active warrants or indictments that would trigger near-term custody for the named individuals. Recent federal actions have centered on immigration operations, fraud prosecutions, and select protest-related cases, yet these have not produced confirmed developments directly advancing arrests for the leading market names. Congressional scrutiny, court rulings on prior investigations, and any new charges against former officials or activists remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย