**Erdoğan remains firmly in office as Turkey’s executive president through late 2026, with his current term running until the 2028 election.** Recent public appearances and policy announcements, including statements on regional security, exports, housing initiatives, and the ongoing PKK disarmament legislation in parliament, demonstrate continued active governance without signs of imminent departure. Opposition parties face structural setbacks, including the fragmentation of the main CHP after court rulings and detentions of key figures, limiting near-term challenges. No scheduled elections, referendums, or constitutional triggers fall within the December 31, 2026, window, and reports of health speculation have not produced verifiable developments that would force an exit. Trader consensus at 94.5% for “No” reflects these institutional and political realities, where removal would require extraordinary events such as sudden resignation, incapacity, or an unforeseen crisis not currently indicated by primary developments.