Recent strength in the U.S. labor market, with August nonfarm payrolls nearly triple consensus expectations, has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 62 percent. The federal funds rate stands at 3.50-3.75 percent, while July CPI showed headline inflation at 3.4 percent year-over-year and core at 2.5 percent, both above the 2 percent target after more than five years. Under new Chair Kevin Warsh, the Fed has adopted a more hawkish tone, with officials signaling greater willingness to tighten if data remain firm. August CPI, due September 11, and the updated dot plot will provide key signals ahead of the decision.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFed rate hike by...?
$2,850,025 Vol.

September Meeting
50%

October Meeting
62%
$2,850,025 Vol.

September Meeting
50%

October Meeting
62%
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent strength in the U.S. labor market, with August nonfarm payrolls nearly triple consensus expectations, has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 62 percent. The federal funds rate stands at 3.50-3.75 percent, while July CPI showed headline inflation at 3.4 percent year-over-year and core at 2.5 percent, both above the 2 percent target after more than five years. Under new Chair Kevin Warsh, the Fed has adopted a more hawkish tone, with officials signaling greater willingness to tighten if data remain firm. August CPI, due September 11, and the updated dot plot will provide key signals ahead of the decision.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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