Internal power struggles within Iran's leadership, intensified by the ongoing US-Israel military campaign that began in February 2026 and killed former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have fueled trader focus on coup risks. Hardline factions, including the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and negotiators of a "soft coup" or "political coup" by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing truces, and sidelining the largely absent new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei since March. Recent reports highlight rogue hardliner actions defying central authority, such as Strait of Hormuz strikes that undermined June understandings. Exiled opposition figure Reza Pahlavi cited growing quiet defections among regime military and civilian officials as evidence of eroding internal control. Ongoing war conditions, potential new US strikes, and UN meetings keep these factional tensions central to assessments of any coup attempt.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIran coup attempt by...?
Iran coup attempt by...?
$2,135,704 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
8%
$2,135,704 Vol.
December 31
$94,478 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal power struggles within Iran's leadership, intensified by the ongoing US-Israel military campaign that began in February 2026 and killed former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have fueled trader focus on coup risks. Hardline factions, including the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and negotiators of a "soft coup" or "political coup" by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing truces, and sidelining the largely absent new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei since March. Recent reports highlight rogue hardliner actions defying central authority, such as Strait of Hormuz strikes that undermined June understandings. Exiled opposition figure Reza Pahlavi cited growing quiet defections among regime military and civilian officials as evidence of eroding internal control. Ongoing war conditions, potential new US strikes, and UN meetings keep these factional tensions central to assessments of any coup attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$2,135,704Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal power struggles within Iran's leadership, intensified by the ongoing US-Israel military campaign that began in February 2026 and killed former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have fueled trader focus on coup risks. Hardline factions, including the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and negotiators of a "soft coup" or "political coup" by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing truces, and sidelining the largely absent new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei since March. Recent reports highlight rogue hardliner actions defying central authority, such as Strait of Hormuz strikes that undermined June understandings. Exiled opposition figure Reza Pahlavi cited growing quiet defections among regime military and civilian officials as evidence of eroding internal control. Ongoing war conditions, potential new US strikes, and UN meetings keep these factional tensions central to assessments of any coup attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,135,704Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Internal power struggles within Iran's leadership, intensified by the ongoing US-Israel military campaign that began in February 2026 and killed former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have fueled trader focus on coup risks. Hardline factions, including the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and negotiators of a "soft coup" or "political coup" by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing truces, and sidelining the largely absent new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei since March. Recent reports highlight rogue hardliner actions defying central authority, such as Strait of Hormuz strikes that undermined June understandings. Exiled opposition figure Reza Pahlavi cited growing quiet defections among regime military and civilian officials as evidence of eroding internal control. Ongoing war conditions, potential new US strikes, and UN meetings keep these factional tensions central to assessments of any coup attempt.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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