Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, have removed potential rivals and reinforced centralized command under the Chinese Communist Party. Combined with ongoing anti-corruption mechanisms, pervasive surveillance, and strict controls over information and elite networks, these measures have sustained political stability with no verified signs of coordinated challenges from military or security factions. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for “No” aligns with this structural dominance ahead of the 2027 party congress. Realistic shifts could stem from an acute leadership health crisis, severe economic fracture exposing elite divisions, or an unforeseen external shock that rapidly erodes cohesion, though such developments remain low-probability within the remaining resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4% tsansa
$155,817 Vol.
$155,817 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% tsansa
$155,817 Vol.
$155,817 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, have removed potential rivals and reinforced centralized command under the Chinese Communist Party. Combined with ongoing anti-corruption mechanisms, pervasive surveillance, and strict controls over information and elite networks, these measures have sustained political stability with no verified signs of coordinated challenges from military or security factions. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for “No” aligns with this structural dominance ahead of the 2027 party congress. Realistic shifts could stem from an acute leadership health crisis, severe economic fracture exposing elite divisions, or an unforeseen external shock that rapidly erodes cohesion, though such developments remain low-probability within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$155,817Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, have removed potential rivals and reinforced centralized command under the Chinese Communist Party. Combined with ongoing anti-corruption mechanisms, pervasive surveillance, and strict controls over information and elite networks, these measures have sustained political stability with no verified signs of coordinated challenges from military or security factions. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for “No” aligns with this structural dominance ahead of the 2027 party congress. Realistic shifts could stem from an acute leadership health crisis, severe economic fracture exposing elite divisions, or an unforeseen external shock that rapidly erodes cohesion, though such developments remain low-probability within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$155,817Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, have removed potential rivals and reinforced centralized command under the Chinese Communist Party. Combined with ongoing anti-corruption mechanisms, pervasive surveillance, and strict controls over information and elite networks, these measures have sustained political stability with no verified signs of coordinated challenges from military or security factions. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for “No” aligns with this structural dominance ahead of the 2027 party congress. Realistic shifts could stem from an acute leadership health crisis, severe economic fracture exposing elite divisions, or an unforeseen external shock that rapidly erodes cohesion, though such developments remain low-probability within the remaining resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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