Meta's rapid iteration on its Muse Spark series, developed by Meta Superintelligence Labs, shapes trader views on the timing and source of Muse Spark 1.4 or later. The company released Muse Spark 1.3 on September 2, 2026, with gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency (roughly 20% fewer tool calls and 25% fewer tokens versus 1.2), and usability in Muse Code and the Meta Model API. This follows a pattern of updates roughly every four weeks since the original April 2026 launch, driven by training on expanded coding datasets and real-world feedback from the terminal agent and API tiers. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, plus Meta's stated roadmap for larger systems and open-weights releases, supports expectations of continued internal development, though product timelines can shift and external factors like regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI could influence the next milestone.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
$15,817 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
32%
October 31
73%
$15,817 Vol.
September 30
$10,837 Vol.
32%
October 31
$4,979 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's rapid iteration on its Muse Spark series, developed by Meta Superintelligence Labs, shapes trader views on the timing and source of Muse Spark 1.4 or later. The company released Muse Spark 1.3 on September 2, 2026, with gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency (roughly 20% fewer tool calls and 25% fewer tokens versus 1.2), and usability in Muse Code and the Meta Model API. This follows a pattern of updates roughly every four weeks since the original April 2026 launch, driven by training on expanded coding datasets and real-world feedback from the terminal agent and API tiers. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, plus Meta's stated roadmap for larger systems and open-weights releases, supports expectations of continued internal development, though product timelines can shift and external factors like regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI could influence the next milestone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volume
$15,817Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's rapid iteration on its Muse Spark series, developed by Meta Superintelligence Labs, shapes trader views on the timing and source of Muse Spark 1.4 or later. The company released Muse Spark 1.3 on September 2, 2026, with gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency (roughly 20% fewer tool calls and 25% fewer tokens versus 1.2), and usability in Muse Code and the Meta Model API. This follows a pattern of updates roughly every four weeks since the original April 2026 launch, driven by training on expanded coding datasets and real-world feedback from the terminal agent and API tiers. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, plus Meta's stated roadmap for larger systems and open-weights releases, supports expectations of continued internal development, though product timelines can shift and external factors like regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI could influence the next milestone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$15,817Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's rapid iteration on its Muse Spark series, developed by Meta Superintelligence Labs, shapes trader views on the timing and source of Muse Spark 1.4 or later. The company released Muse Spark 1.3 on September 2, 2026, with gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency (roughly 20% fewer tool calls and 25% fewer tokens versus 1.2), and usability in Muse Code and the Meta Model API. This follows a pattern of updates roughly every four weeks since the original April 2026 launch, driven by training on expanded coding datasets and real-world feedback from the terminal agent and API tiers. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, plus Meta's stated roadmap for larger systems and open-weights releases, supports expectations of continued internal development, though product timelines can shift and external factors like regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI could influence the next milestone.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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