Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats. Surveys from mid-September, including Veritá, AtlasIntel, and Real Time, show him receiving 36–46% in first-preference or consolidated scenarios, well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and trailing names such as Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Chicão (UNIÃO), and Celso Sabino (PDT). His broad coalition backing and high visibility from prior executive roles underpin trader pricing at 79.5%. A pending electoral-prosecutor opinion questioning his desincompatibilization has not altered his frontrunner status in current voter surveys, though the election remains weeks away.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHelder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 13.1%
Edlaine Rodrigues 3.7%
Zequinha Marinho 3.4%
$18,678 Vol.
$18,678 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
13%
Edlaine Rodrigues
4%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Chicão
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Conti
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Helder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 13.1%
Edlaine Rodrigues 3.7%
Zequinha Marinho 3.4%
$18,678 Vol.
$18,678 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$12,882 Vol.
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$645 Vol.
13%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$624 Vol.
4%
Zequinha Marinho
$594 Vol.
3%
Fernanda Lopes
$746 Vol.
1%
Celso Sabino
$519 Vol.
1%
Breno Guimarães
$553 Vol.
1%
Chicão
$508 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$582 Vol.
1%
Conti
$571 Vol.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$456 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats. Surveys from mid-September, including Veritá, AtlasIntel, and Real Time, show him receiving 36–46% in first-preference or consolidated scenarios, well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and trailing names such as Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Chicão (UNIÃO), and Celso Sabino (PDT). His broad coalition backing and high visibility from prior executive roles underpin trader pricing at 79.5%. A pending electoral-prosecutor opinion questioning his desincompatibilization has not altered his frontrunner status in current voter surveys, though the election remains weeks away.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$18,678Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats. Surveys from mid-September, including Veritá, AtlasIntel, and Real Time, show him receiving 36–46% in first-preference or consolidated scenarios, well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and trailing names such as Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Chicão (UNIÃO), and Celso Sabino (PDT). His broad coalition backing and high visibility from prior executive roles underpin trader pricing at 79.5%. A pending electoral-prosecutor opinion questioning his desincompatibilization has not altered his frontrunner status in current voter surveys, though the election remains weeks away.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,678Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in the October 4, 2026, Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats. Surveys from mid-September, including Veritá, AtlasIntel, and Real Time, show him receiving 36–46% in first-preference or consolidated scenarios, well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and trailing names such as Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Chicão (UNIÃO), and Celso Sabino (PDT). His broad coalition backing and high visibility from prior executive roles underpin trader pricing at 79.5%. A pending electoral-prosecutor opinion questioning his desincompatibilization has not altered his frontrunner status in current voter surveys, though the election remains weeks away.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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