Recent polling for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a consistent lead for first place, leaving a tight contest for second between incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL). Latest surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha place the pair within or near the margin of error for the remaining seat, with Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) further back but still registering measurable support. High undecided and blank/null shares, plus the mechanics of voters selecting two names, sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Minor candidates trail significantly with little recent movement. The market’s close pricing between the top contenders mirrors these stable but narrow polling gaps ahead of October voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHumberto Costa 41%
Mendonça Filho 38%
Marília Arraes 22.0%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.1%
$33,576 Vol.
$33,576 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
50%
Mendonça Filho
31%
Marília Arraes
22%
Eduardo da Fonte
4%
Túlio Gadêlha
1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Humberto Costa 41%
Mendonça Filho 38%
Marília Arraes 22.0%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.1%
$33,576 Vol.
$33,576 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,767 Vol.
50%
Mendonça Filho
$9,236 Vol.
31%
Marília Arraes
$5,900 Vol.
22%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,702 Vol.
4%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,453 Vol.
1%
Mariano Macedo
$806 Vol.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$834 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$834 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 Vol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 Vol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a consistent lead for first place, leaving a tight contest for second between incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL). Latest surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha place the pair within or near the margin of error for the remaining seat, with Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) further back but still registering measurable support. High undecided and blank/null shares, plus the mechanics of voters selecting two names, sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Minor candidates trail significantly with little recent movement. The market’s close pricing between the top contenders mirrors these stable but narrow polling gaps ahead of October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$33,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a consistent lead for first place, leaving a tight contest for second between incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL). Latest surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha place the pair within or near the margin of error for the remaining seat, with Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) further back but still registering measurable support. High undecided and blank/null shares, plus the mechanics of voters selecting two names, sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Minor candidates trail significantly with little recent movement. The market’s close pricing between the top contenders mirrors these stable but narrow polling gaps ahead of October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a consistent lead for first place, leaving a tight contest for second between incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL). Latest surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha place the pair within or near the margin of error for the remaining seat, with Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) further back but still registering measurable support. High undecided and blank/null shares, plus the mechanics of voters selecting two names, sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Minor candidates trail significantly with little recent movement. The market’s close pricing between the top contenders mirrors these stable but narrow polling gaps ahead of October voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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