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icon for Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?
Politika·Israel

Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?

icon for Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?
Politika·Israel

Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$758,664 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$758,664 Vol.

Polymarket
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Belgium

$79,101 Vol.

19%

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Italy

$27,850 Vol.

13%

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The Netherlands

$62,492 Vol.

12%

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New Zealand

$124,487 Vol.

9%

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Japan

$48,986 Vol.

7%

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Finland

$38,545 Vol.

7%

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Alemanya

$130,083 Vol.

5%

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Israel

$297 Vol.

4%

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Greece

$46,785 Vol.

4%

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Austria

$173,410 Vol.

4%

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Estados Unidos

$26,627 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western governments, including the UK, Canada, Australia, France, Portugal, and several smaller European states, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly session, raising the total to roughly 157 of 193 UN members. These moves followed a France-Saudi co-hosted conference on the two-state solution and built on earlier 2024 recognitions by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and others. Remaining holdouts include the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and a handful of additional states. Trader focus centers on whether Palestinian Authority governance reforms, scheduled 2026 elections excluding Hamas, or further diplomatic pressure could prompt additional recognitions before the 2027 cutoff, alongside ongoing regional dynamics tied to the Gaza conflict and broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$758,664
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western governments, including the UK, Canada, Australia, France, Portugal, and several smaller European states, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly session, raising the total to roughly 157 of 193 UN members. These moves followed a France-Saudi co-hosted conference on the two-state solution and built on earlier 2024 recognitions by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and others. Remaining holdouts include the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and a handful of additional states. Trader focus centers on whether Palestinian Authority governance reforms, scheduled 2026 elections excluding Hamas, or further diplomatic pressure could prompt additional recognitions before the 2027 cutoff, alongside ongoing regional dynamics tied to the Gaza conflict and broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$758,664
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

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Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

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Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

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Magkakaroon ba ng normalisasyon ng relasyon ang Israel at Syria pagsapit ng Disyembre 31, 2026?

9%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Belgium" sa 19%, sinusundan ng "Italy" sa 13%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 19¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 19% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $758.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay "Belgium" sa 19%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 19% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Italy" sa 13%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.