Amish Shah holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat, vacated when Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship, favors the Democratic former state legislator and emergency physician who narrowly lost the same district in 2024. Shah defeated the DCCC-backed primary opponent in July and enters the November 3 general election with a documented legislative record on healthcare, affordability, and reproductive rights. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed former NFL kicker and political newcomer who prevailed in the Republican primary, appeals to the party base but lacks prior elected experience in a district that voted narrowly for Trump in 2024 and includes affluent Phoenix suburbs. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with fundraising and voter outreach in the final weeks likely to determine whether the implied probability holds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
$14,809 Обс.
$14,809 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Amish Shah (D)
71%
Jay Feely (R)
31%
$14,809 Обс.
$14,809 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Amish Shah (D)
$9,533 Обс.
71%
Jay Feely (R)
$5,276 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat, vacated when Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship, favors the Democratic former state legislator and emergency physician who narrowly lost the same district in 2024. Shah defeated the DCCC-backed primary opponent in July and enters the November 3 general election with a documented legislative record on healthcare, affordability, and reproductive rights. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed former NFL kicker and political newcomer who prevailed in the Republican primary, appeals to the party base but lacks prior elected experience in a district that voted narrowly for Trump in 2024 and includes affluent Phoenix suburbs. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with fundraising and voter outreach in the final weeks likely to determine whether the implied probability holds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,809Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat, vacated when Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship, favors the Democratic former state legislator and emergency physician who narrowly lost the same district in 2024. Shah defeated the DCCC-backed primary opponent in July and enters the November 3 general election with a documented legislative record on healthcare, affordability, and reproductive rights. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed former NFL kicker and political newcomer who prevailed in the Republican primary, appeals to the party base but lacks prior elected experience in a district that voted narrowly for Trump in 2024 and includes affluent Phoenix suburbs. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with fundraising and voter outreach in the final weeks likely to determine whether the implied probability holds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,809Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Amish Shah holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat, vacated when Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship, favors the Democratic former state legislator and emergency physician who narrowly lost the same district in 2024. Shah defeated the DCCC-backed primary opponent in July and enters the November 3 general election with a documented legislative record on healthcare, affordability, and reproductive rights. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed former NFL kicker and political newcomer who prevailed in the Republican primary, appeals to the party base but lacks prior elected experience in a district that voted narrowly for Trump in 2024 and includes affluent Phoenix suburbs. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with fundraising and voter outreach in the final weeks likely to determine whether the implied probability holds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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