**Trader consensus at 99.9% on 76-77°F reflects National Weather Service forecasts for mostly cloudy skies over New York City on August 31, 2026, which have sharply limited daytime solar heating and kept maximum temperatures in the mid- to upper-70s at official stations.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light northeast-to-southeast winds have suppressed the usual late-August peak, aligning with ensemble guidance projecting highs near 76–80°F at LaGuardia and Central Park. Light rain chances through the afternoon further cap warming. Official resolution depends on the final NWS maximum at the designated station; clearer breaks or stronger southerly flow could push readings into the low 80s, though current model consensus and observed conditions make that outcome unlikely before midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 31?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 31?
76-77°F 99.8%
78-79°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$62,664 Обс.
$62,664 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99.8%
78-79°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$62,664 Обс.
$62,664 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
$3,381 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$12,460 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$12,540 Обс.
100%
78-79°F
$10,393 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$9,820 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$5,525 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,974 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$565 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$360 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,509 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$1,138 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% on 76-77°F reflects National Weather Service forecasts for mostly cloudy skies over New York City on August 31, 2026, which have sharply limited daytime solar heating and kept maximum temperatures in the mid- to upper-70s at official stations.**
Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light northeast-to-southeast winds have suppressed the usual late-August peak, aligning with ensemble guidance projecting highs near 76–80°F at LaGuardia and Central Park. Light rain chances through the afternoon further cap warming. Official resolution depends on the final NWS maximum at the designated station; clearer breaks or stronger southerly flow could push readings into the low 80s, though current model consensus and observed conditions make that outcome unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$62,664Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% on 76-77°F reflects National Weather Service forecasts for mostly cloudy skies over New York City on August 31, 2026, which have sharply limited daytime solar heating and kept maximum temperatures in the mid- to upper-70s at official stations.**
Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light northeast-to-southeast winds have suppressed the usual late-August peak, aligning with ensemble guidance projecting highs near 76–80°F at LaGuardia and Central Park. Light rain chances through the afternoon further cap warming. Official resolution depends on the final NWS maximum at the designated station; clearer breaks or stronger southerly flow could push readings into the low 80s, though current model consensus and observed conditions make that outcome unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$62,664Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.9% on 76-77°F reflects National Weather Service forecasts for mostly cloudy skies over New York City on August 31, 2026, which have sharply limited daytime solar heating and kept maximum temperatures in the mid- to upper-70s at official stations.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light northeast-to-southeast winds have suppressed the usual late-August peak, aligning with ensemble guidance projecting highs near 76–80°F at LaGuardia and Central Park. Light rain chances through the afternoon further cap warming. Official resolution depends on the final NWS maximum at the designated station; clearer breaks or stronger southerly flow could push readings into the low 80s, though current model consensus and observed conditions make that outcome unlikely before midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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