Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 83% implied probability in the Hsinchu County Magistrate race, reflecting her KMT nomination after a March 2026 primary victory over Deputy Magistrate Chen Chien-hsien and the party's established local organization under incumbent Yang Wen-ke. Cheng Chao-fang, the DPP nominee and former Zhubei mayor recruited in June, trails at 17% amid surveys showing Hsu's broader support across most municipalities outside Zhubei. Minor candidates including Chen and Lin Szu-ming register negligible shares. Recent developments include late-August strains in KMT-TPP coordination over Zhubei mayoral arrangements that could indirectly affect turnout, though candidate registration opening on August 31 has not materially shifted positioning ahead of the November 28 vote. Trader consensus prices the contest as Hsu's to lose barring major late developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHsu Hsin-ying 83%
Cheng Chao-fang 17%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Hsu Hsin-ying
83%
Cheng Chao-fang
17%
Lin Szu-ming
1%
Chen Chien-hsien
<1%
Hsu Hsin-ying 83%
Cheng Chao-fang 17%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Hsu Hsin-ying
$2,329 Обс.
83%
Cheng Chao-fang
$1,978 Обс.
17%
Lin Szu-ming
$354 Обс.
1%
Chen Chien-hsien
$292 Обс.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 83% implied probability in the Hsinchu County Magistrate race, reflecting her KMT nomination after a March 2026 primary victory over Deputy Magistrate Chen Chien-hsien and the party's established local organization under incumbent Yang Wen-ke. Cheng Chao-fang, the DPP nominee and former Zhubei mayor recruited in June, trails at 17% amid surveys showing Hsu's broader support across most municipalities outside Zhubei. Minor candidates including Chen and Lin Szu-ming register negligible shares. Recent developments include late-August strains in KMT-TPP coordination over Zhubei mayoral arrangements that could indirectly affect turnout, though candidate registration opening on August 31 has not materially shifted positioning ahead of the November 28 vote. Trader consensus prices the contest as Hsu's to lose barring major late developments.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,953Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 83% implied probability in the Hsinchu County Magistrate race, reflecting her KMT nomination after a March 2026 primary victory over Deputy Magistrate Chen Chien-hsien and the party's established local organization under incumbent Yang Wen-ke. Cheng Chao-fang, the DPP nominee and former Zhubei mayor recruited in June, trails at 17% amid surveys showing Hsu's broader support across most municipalities outside Zhubei. Minor candidates including Chen and Lin Szu-ming register negligible shares. Recent developments include late-August strains in KMT-TPP coordination over Zhubei mayoral arrangements that could indirectly affect turnout, though candidate registration opening on August 31 has not materially shifted positioning ahead of the November 28 vote. Trader consensus prices the contest as Hsu's to lose barring major late developments.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$4,953Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 83% implied probability in the Hsinchu County Magistrate race, reflecting her KMT nomination after a March 2026 primary victory over Deputy Magistrate Chen Chien-hsien and the party's established local organization under incumbent Yang Wen-ke. Cheng Chao-fang, the DPP nominee and former Zhubei mayor recruited in June, trails at 17% amid surveys showing Hsu's broader support across most municipalities outside Zhubei. Minor candidates including Chen and Lin Szu-ming register negligible shares. Recent developments include late-August strains in KMT-TPP coordination over Zhubei mayoral arrangements that could indirectly affect turnout, though candidate registration opening on August 31 has not materially shifted positioning ahead of the November 28 vote. Trader consensus prices the contest as Hsu's to lose barring major late developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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