Illinois's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 10.9-point 2024 margin and the absence of Republican statewide victories since 2014, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96.1%. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% of the vote, aided by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and fundraising, defeating U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly for the open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair, advanced from a lower-visibility primary but faces structural barriers in the solidly Democratic state ahead of the November 3 general election. Late national shifts or turnout anomalies represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$32,364 Обс.
$32,364 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$32,364 Обс.
$32,364 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,811 Обс.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$15,553 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 10.9-point 2024 margin and the absence of Republican statewide victories since 2014, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96.1%. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% of the vote, aided by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and fundraising, defeating U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly for the open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair, advanced from a lower-visibility primary but faces structural barriers in the solidly Democratic state ahead of the November 3 general election. Late national shifts or turnout anomalies represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$32,364Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 10.9-point 2024 margin and the absence of Republican statewide victories since 2014, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96.1%. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% of the vote, aided by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and fundraising, defeating U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly for the open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair, advanced from a lower-visibility primary but faces structural barriers in the solidly Democratic state ahead of the November 3 general election. Late national shifts or turnout anomalies represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$32,364Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 10.9-point 2024 margin and the absence of Republican statewide victories since 2014, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96.1%. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% of the vote, aided by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and fundraising, defeating U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly for the open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, former state party chair, advanced from a lower-visibility primary but faces structural barriers in the solidly Democratic state ahead of the November 3 general election. Late national shifts or turnout anomalies represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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