Recent Reuters reporting that Anthropic has shifted its IPO marketing to mid-October at the earliest, with a late-September public S-1 filing, has anchored trader consensus around October 2026 at 58.5% implied probability. The confidential S-1 filed in June 2026, combined with ongoing work to finalize a $15 billion revolving credit facility ahead of bank analyst meetings, explains the timeline compression from earlier summer expectations. November 2026 follows at 24.9% as a buffer for any final regulatory or market-condition delays before the U.S. midterms. Strong revenue growth toward $100–120 billion annualized and investor discussions of a potential $2 trillion valuation reinforce the near-term window while underscoring that product launches, SEC reviews, and macroeconomic factors could still shift outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOctober 2026 59%
November 2026 24.9%
December 2026 8.6%
April 2027 1.8%
$189,376 Обс.
$189,376 Обс.
September 2026
1%
October 2026
59%
November 2026
25%
December 2026
9%
January 2027
<1%
February 2027
2%
March 2027
1%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
1%
October 2026 59%
November 2026 24.9%
December 2026 8.6%
April 2027 1.8%
$189,376 Обс.
$189,376 Обс.
September 2026
1%
October 2026
59%
November 2026
25%
December 2026
9%
January 2027
<1%
February 2027
2%
March 2027
1%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
1%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Reuters reporting that Anthropic has shifted its IPO marketing to mid-October at the earliest, with a late-September public S-1 filing, has anchored trader consensus around October 2026 at 58.5% implied probability. The confidential S-1 filed in June 2026, combined with ongoing work to finalize a $15 billion revolving credit facility ahead of bank analyst meetings, explains the timeline compression from earlier summer expectations. November 2026 follows at 24.9% as a buffer for any final regulatory or market-condition delays before the U.S. midterms. Strong revenue growth toward $100–120 billion annualized and investor discussions of a potential $2 trillion valuation reinforce the near-term window while underscoring that product launches, SEC reviews, and macroeconomic factors could still shift outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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