Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district race due to her established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the seat's underlying partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan forecasts rating it Likely or Safe Democratic. Scholten, seeking a third term, benefits from Democratic primary consolidation and a Republican primary won by former meteorologist Terri DeBoer in August, with limited subsequent momentum for the challenger despite criticism of Scholten's record. Traders' 93.5% implied probability aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts remain possible if national conditions produce a strong Republican midterm environment, turnout surges in key voting blocs, or unforeseen developments alter the race dynamics before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
$21,472 Обс.
$21,472 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Hillary Scholten (D)
94%
Terri DeBoer (R)
6%
$21,472 Обс.
$21,472 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Hillary Scholten (D)
$16,470 Обс.
94%
Terri DeBoer (R)
$5,002 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district race due to her established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the seat's underlying partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan forecasts rating it Likely or Safe Democratic. Scholten, seeking a third term, benefits from Democratic primary consolidation and a Republican primary won by former meteorologist Terri DeBoer in August, with limited subsequent momentum for the challenger despite criticism of Scholten's record. Traders' 93.5% implied probability aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts remain possible if national conditions produce a strong Republican midterm environment, turnout surges in key voting blocs, or unforeseen developments alter the race dynamics before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,472Дата завершення
Nov 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district race due to her established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the seat's underlying partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan forecasts rating it Likely or Safe Democratic. Scholten, seeking a third term, benefits from Democratic primary consolidation and a Republican primary won by former meteorologist Terri DeBoer in August, with limited subsequent momentum for the challenger despite criticism of Scholten's record. Traders' 93.5% implied probability aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts remain possible if national conditions produce a strong Republican midterm environment, turnout surges in key voting blocs, or unforeseen developments alter the race dynamics before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$21,472Дата завершення
Nov 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district race due to her established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the seat's underlying partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan forecasts rating it Likely or Safe Democratic. Scholten, seeking a third term, benefits from Democratic primary consolidation and a Republican primary won by former meteorologist Terri DeBoer in August, with limited subsequent momentum for the challenger despite criticism of Scholten's record. Traders' 93.5% implied probability aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts remain possible if national conditions produce a strong Republican midterm environment, turnout surges in key voting blocs, or unforeseen developments alter the race dynamics before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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