Meta's rapid iteration on the Muse Spark family drives trader sentiment around the 1.4+ release timeline. The company shipped Muse Spark 1.3 on September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code, emphasizing gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency with roughly 20% fewer tool calls, and a 1M-token context window. This follows 1.1 in July and 1.2 in early August, establishing a roughly monthly cadence under Meta Superintelligence Labs. Mark Zuckerberg has highlighted frontier performance at low cost and teased a larger codenamed "Watermelon" model alongside open-weights releases. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google on agentic capabilities and API pricing keeps expectations for the next upgrade elevated, with traders watching for any announcements at upcoming developer events or earnings calls that could accelerate or delay a qualifying 1.4+ public release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
$12,721 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
19%
October 31
73%
$12,721 Обс.
September 30
$7,795 Обс.
19%
October 31
$4,926 Обс.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's rapid iteration on the Muse Spark family drives trader sentiment around the 1.4+ release timeline. The company shipped Muse Spark 1.3 on September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code, emphasizing gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency with roughly 20% fewer tool calls, and a 1M-token context window. This follows 1.1 in July and 1.2 in early August, establishing a roughly monthly cadence under Meta Superintelligence Labs. Mark Zuckerberg has highlighted frontier performance at low cost and teased a larger codenamed "Watermelon" model alongside open-weights releases. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google on agentic capabilities and API pricing keeps expectations for the next upgrade elevated, with traders watching for any announcements at upcoming developer events or earnings calls that could accelerate or delay a qualifying 1.4+ public release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,721Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's rapid iteration on the Muse Spark family drives trader sentiment around the 1.4+ release timeline. The company shipped Muse Spark 1.3 on September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code, emphasizing gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency with roughly 20% fewer tool calls, and a 1M-token context window. This follows 1.1 in July and 1.2 in early August, establishing a roughly monthly cadence under Meta Superintelligence Labs. Mark Zuckerberg has highlighted frontier performance at low cost and teased a larger codenamed "Watermelon" model alongside open-weights releases. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google on agentic capabilities and API pricing keeps expectations for the next upgrade elevated, with traders watching for any announcements at upcoming developer events or earnings calls that could accelerate or delay a qualifying 1.4+ public release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$12,721Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Meta's rapid iteration on the Muse Spark family drives trader sentiment around the 1.4+ release timeline. The company shipped Muse Spark 1.3 on September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code, emphasizing gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency with roughly 20% fewer tool calls, and a 1M-token context window. This follows 1.1 in July and 1.2 in early August, establishing a roughly monthly cadence under Meta Superintelligence Labs. Mark Zuckerberg has highlighted frontier performance at low cost and teased a larger codenamed "Watermelon" model alongside open-weights releases. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google on agentic capabilities and API pricing keeps expectations for the next upgrade elevated, with traders watching for any announcements at upcoming developer events or earnings calls that could accelerate or delay a qualifying 1.4+ public release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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