Steven Horsford holds an 89.5% implied probability in the NV-04 House race due to the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, his incumbency, and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Horsford advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $2.5 million raised compared to Republican nominee Cody Whipple’s roughly $622,000. Whipple, a telecommunications business owner, secured the GOP nomination with 61.8% in the June primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that supported the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. With the November 3 general election seven weeks away, trader consensus reflects limited expected volatility absent major late developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNV-04 House Election Winner
NV-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Steven Horsford (D)
90%
Cody Whipple (R)
10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Steven Horsford (D)
$3,047 Обс.
90%
Cody Whipple (R)
$4,604 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford holds an 89.5% implied probability in the NV-04 House race due to the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, his incumbency, and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Horsford advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $2.5 million raised compared to Republican nominee Cody Whipple’s roughly $622,000. Whipple, a telecommunications business owner, secured the GOP nomination with 61.8% in the June primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that supported the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. With the November 3 general election seven weeks away, trader consensus reflects limited expected volatility absent major late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,651Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford holds an 89.5% implied probability in the NV-04 House race due to the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, his incumbency, and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Horsford advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $2.5 million raised compared to Republican nominee Cody Whipple’s roughly $622,000. Whipple, a telecommunications business owner, secured the GOP nomination with 61.8% in the June primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that supported the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. With the November 3 general election seven weeks away, trader consensus reflects limited expected volatility absent major late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,651Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Steven Horsford holds an 89.5% implied probability in the NV-04 House race due to the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, his incumbency, and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Horsford advanced unopposed through the June 9 Democratic primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $2.5 million raised compared to Republican nominee Cody Whipple’s roughly $622,000. Whipple, a telecommunications business owner, secured the GOP nomination with 61.8% in the June primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that supported the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. With the November 3 general election seven weeks away, trader consensus reflects limited expected volatility absent major late developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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