Recent polling from late August and early September shows a fragmented field for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim and others clustered between roughly 7-17% in vote intention and large shares of undecided or blank ballots. Voters select two names, so small shifts in second-preference support can reorder the final ranking. Rogério Carvalho’s 35.5% implied probability for second place reflects his consistent presence near the top of surveys and re-election bid, while André David and André Moura sit close behind on 20% and 19% ranges amid overlapping coalitions and regional bases. The October 4 first-round vote remains weeks away, leaving room for late campaign momentum or turnout differences to separate the contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRogerio Carvalho 33%
Delegado André David 26.4%
André Moura 20%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$30,707 Обс.
$30,707 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
40%
Delegado André David
20%
André Moura
20%
Eduardo Amorim
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
2%
Edvaldo
1%
Delegado Alessandro
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 33%
Delegado André David 26.4%
André Moura 20%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$30,707 Обс.
$30,707 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
$7,848 Обс.
40%
Delegado André David
$4,339 Обс.
20%
André Moura
$5,546 Обс.
20%
Eduardo Amorim
$3,107 Обс.
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,738 Обс.
2%
Edvaldo
$1,291 Обс.
1%
Delegado Alessandro
$2,103 Обс.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$1,114 Обс.
<1%
Renatinha
$1,435 Обс.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$776 Обс.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,411 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows a fragmented field for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim and others clustered between roughly 7-17% in vote intention and large shares of undecided or blank ballots. Voters select two names, so small shifts in second-preference support can reorder the final ranking. Rogério Carvalho’s 35.5% implied probability for second place reflects his consistent presence near the top of surveys and re-election bid, while André David and André Moura sit close behind on 20% and 19% ranges amid overlapping coalitions and regional bases. The October 4 first-round vote remains weeks away, leaving room for late campaign momentum or turnout differences to separate the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,707Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows a fragmented field for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim and others clustered between roughly 7-17% in vote intention and large shares of undecided or blank ballots. Voters select two names, so small shifts in second-preference support can reorder the final ranking. Rogério Carvalho’s 35.5% implied probability for second place reflects his consistent presence near the top of surveys and re-election bid, while André David and André Moura sit close behind on 20% and 19% ranges amid overlapping coalitions and regional bases. The October 4 first-round vote remains weeks away, leaving room for late campaign momentum or turnout differences to separate the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$30,707Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August and early September shows a fragmented field for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim and others clustered between roughly 7-17% in vote intention and large shares of undecided or blank ballots. Voters select two names, so small shifts in second-preference support can reorder the final ranking. Rogério Carvalho’s 35.5% implied probability for second place reflects his consistent presence near the top of surveys and re-election bid, while André David and André Moura sit close behind on 20% and 19% ranges amid overlapping coalitions and regional bases. The October 4 first-round vote remains weeks away, leaving room for late campaign momentum or turnout differences to separate the contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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