Apple’s September 9, 2026 “Surprise and Shine” event confirmed a major shift in iPhone release cadence, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo launching in fall 2026 while the standard iPhone 18 was deliberately omitted. Supply constraints on advanced components, a desire to boost average selling prices, and an expanding lineup of six models prompted the split schedule, pushing the base model, 18e, and Air 2 to spring 2027 alongside an expected A20 chip. Traders are pricing this outcome heavily because Apple’s official event materials and supply-chain reports show no base-model announcements or pre-order windows, and historical patterns indicate the next major hardware reveal window is March or April 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Feb 28, 2027
February 28, 2027
27%
March 31, 2027
70%
April 30, 2027
81%
$274 KL.
February 28, 2027
$124 KL.
27%
March 31, 2027
$88 KL.
70%
April 30, 2027
$62 KL.
81%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 “Surprise and Shine” event confirmed a major shift in iPhone release cadence, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo launching in fall 2026 while the standard iPhone 18 was deliberately omitted. Supply constraints on advanced components, a desire to boost average selling prices, and an expanding lineup of six models prompted the split schedule, pushing the base model, 18e, and Air 2 to spring 2027 alongside an expected A20 chip. Traders are pricing this outcome heavily because Apple’s official event materials and supply-chain reports show no base-model announcements or pre-order windows, and historical patterns indicate the next major hardware reveal window is March or April 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$274Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 “Surprise and Shine” event confirmed a major shift in iPhone release cadence, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo launching in fall 2026 while the standard iPhone 18 was deliberately omitted. Supply constraints on advanced components, a desire to boost average selling prices, and an expanding lineup of six models prompted the split schedule, pushing the base model, 18e, and Air 2 to spring 2027 alongside an expected A20 chip. Traders are pricing this outcome heavily because Apple’s official event materials and supply-chain reports show no base-model announcements or pre-order windows, and historical patterns indicate the next major hardware reveal window is March or April 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$274Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Apple’s September 9, 2026 “Surprise and Shine” event confirmed a major shift in iPhone release cadence, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo launching in fall 2026 while the standard iPhone 18 was deliberately omitted. Supply constraints on advanced components, a desire to boost average selling prices, and an expanding lineup of six models prompted the split schedule, pushing the base model, 18e, and Air 2 to spring 2027 alongside an expected A20 chip. Traders are pricing this outcome heavily because Apple’s official event materials and supply-chain reports show no base-model announcements or pre-order windows, and historical patterns indicate the next major hardware reveal window is March or April 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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