**Anthropic holds a narrow edge as the implied second-place lab on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, but the race remains highly competitive through November.** Recent September 2026 releases—Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra—have compressed the top of the Elo-style rankings on agentic web development tasks that reward multi-step reasoning and tool use. Anthropic’s models demonstrate consistent strength in iterative coding workflows, yet the ~40-point gap leaves room for shifts from Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Meta, or Google updates. Traders weigh the pace of new model drops and vote volume against the current Pareto frontier, where smaller gaps among frontier labs create ongoing uncertainty for the second-highest lab ranking.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 51%
OpenAI 18%
Google 14%
DeepSeek 11.2%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
51%
OpenAI
18%
12%
DeepSeek
11%
Tencent
11%
SpaceXAI
10%
Poolside
10%
Z.ai
9%
Meta
8%
MiniMax
5%
ByteDance
4%
Alibaba
4%
Mistral
4%
Moonshot
3%
Xiaomi
3%
Thinky
3%
Anthropic 51%
OpenAI 18%
Google 14%
DeepSeek 11.2%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$251 KL.
51%
OpenAI
$78 KL.
18%
$95 KL.
12%
DeepSeek
$21 KL.
11%
Tencent
$21 KL.
11%
SpaceXAI
$38 KL.
10%
Poolside
$38 KL.
10%
Z.ai
$38 KL.
9%
Meta
$64 KL.
8%
MiniMax
$49 KL.
5%
ByteDance
$142 KL.
4%
Alibaba
$45 KL.
4%
Mistral
$175 KL.
4%
Moonshot
$38 KL.
3%
Xiaomi
$183 KL.
3%
Thinky
$48 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Anthropic holds a narrow edge as the implied second-place lab on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, but the race remains highly competitive through November.** Recent September 2026 releases—Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra—have compressed the top of the Elo-style rankings on agentic web development tasks that reward multi-step reasoning and tool use. Anthropic’s models demonstrate consistent strength in iterative coding workflows, yet the ~40-point gap leaves room for shifts from Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Meta, or Google updates. Traders weigh the pace of new model drops and vote volume against the current Pareto frontier, where smaller gaps among frontier labs create ongoing uncertainty for the second-highest lab ranking.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,323Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Anthropic holds a narrow edge as the implied second-place lab on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, but the race remains highly competitive through November.** Recent September 2026 releases—Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra—have compressed the top of the Elo-style rankings on agentic web development tasks that reward multi-step reasoning and tool use. Anthropic’s models demonstrate consistent strength in iterative coding workflows, yet the ~40-point gap leaves room for shifts from Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Meta, or Google updates. Traders weigh the pace of new model drops and vote volume against the current Pareto frontier, where smaller gaps among frontier labs create ongoing uncertainty for the second-highest lab ranking.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$1,323Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Anthropic holds a narrow edge as the implied second-place lab on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, but the race remains highly competitive through November.** Recent September 2026 releases—Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra—have compressed the top of the Elo-style rankings on agentic web development tasks that reward multi-step reasoning and tool use. Anthropic’s models demonstrate consistent strength in iterative coding workflows, yet the ~40-point gap leaves room for shifts from Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Meta, or Google updates. Traders weigh the pace of new model drops and vote volume against the current Pareto frontier, where smaller gaps among frontier labs create ongoing uncertainty for the second-highest lab ranking.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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