Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds for second place in Code Arena WebDev by end-October because its Claude Fable 5.1 Max sits just behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra on the live Arena.ai leaderboard, with multiple Claude variants occupying the next several spots in agentic frontend coding tasks. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 briefly captured the top ranking before Astra’s September 3 launch widened OpenAI’s lead by roughly 40 Elo points, yet Anthropic’s consistent depth across coding categories and rapid iteration keep trader consensus on its second-place positioning. Key near-term catalysts include any additional model drops or leaderboard volatility through October that could shift lab rankings without displacing the current proprietary frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 61.7%
OpenAI 27%
SpaceXAI 4.3%
DeepSeek 2.7%
$20,151 KL.
$20,151 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
62%
OpenAI
27%
SpaceXAI
4%
DeepSeek
3%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
2%
2%
Poolside
1%
Tencent
1%
Meta
1%
ByteDance
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Mistral
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Anthropic 61.7%
OpenAI 27%
SpaceXAI 4.3%
DeepSeek 2.7%
$20,151 KL.
$20,151 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$3,541 KL.
62%
OpenAI
$1,780 KL.
27%
SpaceXAI
$626 KL.
4%
DeepSeek
$672 KL.
3%
Alibaba
$1,846 KL.
3%
Moonshot
$4,931 KL.
2%
Z.ai
$645 KL.
2%
$669 KL.
2%
Poolside
$969 KL.
1%
Tencent
$637 KL.
1%
Meta
$787 KL.
1%
ByteDance
$660 KL.
1%
Xiaomi
$409 KL.
1%
Mistral
$794 KL.
<1%
Thinky
$656 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$530 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds for second place in Code Arena WebDev by end-October because its Claude Fable 5.1 Max sits just behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra on the live Arena.ai leaderboard, with multiple Claude variants occupying the next several spots in agentic frontend coding tasks. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 briefly captured the top ranking before Astra’s September 3 launch widened OpenAI’s lead by roughly 40 Elo points, yet Anthropic’s consistent depth across coding categories and rapid iteration keep trader consensus on its second-place positioning. Key near-term catalysts include any additional model drops or leaderboard volatility through October that could shift lab rankings without displacing the current proprietary frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,151Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds for second place in Code Arena WebDev by end-October because its Claude Fable 5.1 Max sits just behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra on the live Arena.ai leaderboard, with multiple Claude variants occupying the next several spots in agentic frontend coding tasks. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 briefly captured the top ranking before Astra’s September 3 launch widened OpenAI’s lead by roughly 40 Elo points, yet Anthropic’s consistent depth across coding categories and rapid iteration keep trader consensus on its second-place positioning. Key near-term catalysts include any additional model drops or leaderboard volatility through October that could shift lab rankings without displacing the current proprietary frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$20,151Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds for second place in Code Arena WebDev by end-October because its Claude Fable 5.1 Max sits just behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra on the live Arena.ai leaderboard, with multiple Claude variants occupying the next several spots in agentic frontend coding tasks. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 briefly captured the top ranking before Astra’s September 3 launch widened OpenAI’s lead by roughly 40 Elo points, yet Anthropic’s consistent depth across coding categories and rapid iteration keep trader consensus on its second-place positioning. Key near-term catalysts include any additional model drops or leaderboard volatility through October that could shift lab rankings without displacing the current proprietary frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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