Recent model launches have reshaped Code Arena WebDev standings, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top spot in early September and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 family securing second. This leaves third place contested among Alibaba’s Qwen series, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Z.ai’s GLM models, whose strong agentic web-app and frontend benchmarks have narrowed gaps on live leaderboards. Traders see elevated implied odds for these labs due to rapid iteration in Chinese open-weight releases, competitive pricing, and gains on Vibe Code and frontend-specific evals. US frontier labs face higher per-token costs and less specialized webdev tuning, while upcoming October updates from multiple labs could still shift relative positioning before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlibaba 40%
Moonshot 36%
SpaceXAI 9.5%
OpenAI 6.1%
$39,766 KL.
$39,766 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
40%
Moonshot
36%
SpaceXAI
10%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
6%
Meta
5%
4%
Z.ai
2%
Thinky
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
Mistral
1%
ByteDance
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Alibaba 40%
Moonshot 36%
SpaceXAI 9.5%
OpenAI 6.1%
$39,766 KL.
$39,766 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
$18,503 KL.
40%
Moonshot
$12,119 KL.
36%
SpaceXAI
$730 KL.
10%
OpenAI
$1,531 KL.
6%
Anthropic
$668 KL.
6%
Meta
$571 KL.
5%
$514 KL.
4%
Z.ai
$667 KL.
2%
Thinky
$600 KL.
1%
DeepSeek
$594 KL.
1%
Tencent
$566 KL.
1%
Mistral
$596 KL.
1%
ByteDance
$628 KL.
1%
MiniMax
$617 KL.
<1%
Poolside
$559 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$302 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model launches have reshaped Code Arena WebDev standings, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top spot in early September and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 family securing second. This leaves third place contested among Alibaba’s Qwen series, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Z.ai’s GLM models, whose strong agentic web-app and frontend benchmarks have narrowed gaps on live leaderboards. Traders see elevated implied odds for these labs due to rapid iteration in Chinese open-weight releases, competitive pricing, and gains on Vibe Code and frontend-specific evals. US frontier labs face higher per-token costs and less specialized webdev tuning, while upcoming October updates from multiple labs could still shift relative positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$39,766Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model launches have reshaped Code Arena WebDev standings, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top spot in early September and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 family securing second. This leaves third place contested among Alibaba’s Qwen series, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Z.ai’s GLM models, whose strong agentic web-app and frontend benchmarks have narrowed gaps on live leaderboards. Traders see elevated implied odds for these labs due to rapid iteration in Chinese open-weight releases, competitive pricing, and gains on Vibe Code and frontend-specific evals. US frontier labs face higher per-token costs and less specialized webdev tuning, while upcoming October updates from multiple labs could still shift relative positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$39,766Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model launches have reshaped Code Arena WebDev standings, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top spot in early September and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 family securing second. This leaves third place contested among Alibaba’s Qwen series, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Z.ai’s GLM models, whose strong agentic web-app and frontend benchmarks have narrowed gaps on live leaderboards. Traders see elevated implied odds for these labs due to rapid iteration in Chinese open-weight releases, competitive pricing, and gains on Vibe Code and frontend-specific evals. US frontier labs face higher per-token costs and less specialized webdev tuning, while upcoming October updates from multiple labs could still shift relative positioning before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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