Kathy Castor holds the edge in trader consensus for Florida's 14th Congressional District due to her two-decade incumbency and established fundraising base, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat entirely into Hillsborough County and created a more Republican-leaning map where Donald Trump outperformed Kamala Harris in 2024 vote estimates. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 46 percent against a crowded field, positioning him as the general election challenger in a race rated toss-up or lean by major forecasters. A July poll showed Castor ahead 46-38 percent, though the November 3 contest remains fluid with additional candidates on the ballot and limited post-primary data available to shift probabilities further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$45,801 KL.
$45,801 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
65%
Mike Beltran (R)
35%
$45,801 KL.
$45,801 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
$23,520 KL.
65%
Mike Beltran (R)
$22,281 KL.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor holds the edge in trader consensus for Florida's 14th Congressional District due to her two-decade incumbency and established fundraising base, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat entirely into Hillsborough County and created a more Republican-leaning map where Donald Trump outperformed Kamala Harris in 2024 vote estimates. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 46 percent against a crowded field, positioning him as the general election challenger in a race rated toss-up or lean by major forecasters. A July poll showed Castor ahead 46-38 percent, though the November 3 contest remains fluid with additional candidates on the ballot and limited post-primary data available to shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,801Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor holds the edge in trader consensus for Florida's 14th Congressional District due to her two-decade incumbency and established fundraising base, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat entirely into Hillsborough County and created a more Republican-leaning map where Donald Trump outperformed Kamala Harris in 2024 vote estimates. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 46 percent against a crowded field, positioning him as the general election challenger in a race rated toss-up or lean by major forecasters. A July poll showed Castor ahead 46-38 percent, though the November 3 contest remains fluid with additional candidates on the ballot and limited post-primary data available to shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,801Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor holds the edge in trader consensus for Florida's 14th Congressional District due to her two-decade incumbency and established fundraising base, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat entirely into Hillsborough County and created a more Republican-leaning map where Donald Trump outperformed Kamala Harris in 2024 vote estimates. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 46 percent against a crowded field, positioning him as the general election challenger in a race rated toss-up or lean by major forecasters. A July poll showed Castor ahead 46-38 percent, though the November 3 contest remains fluid with additional candidates on the ballot and limited post-primary data available to shift probabilities further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp