Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring her reelection. Luna advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her nomination with 65% in the August 18 Democratic primary. The district’s post-redistricting boundaries favor Republicans, consistent with Trump’s double-digit margin there in 2024. Luna maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency in a seat rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters. A late-August Democratic poll showed Gray narrowly ahead, highlighting competitiveness driven by veteran voters and independent support, yet broader polling and structural factors sustain Luna’s lead in market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-13 House Election Winner
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
74%
Leela Gray (D)
25%
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
74%
Leela Gray (D)
25%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring her reelection. Luna advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her nomination with 65% in the August 18 Democratic primary. The district’s post-redistricting boundaries favor Republicans, consistent with Trump’s double-digit margin there in 2024. Luna maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency in a seat rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters. A late-August Democratic poll showed Gray narrowly ahead, highlighting competitiveness driven by veteran voters and independent support, yet broader polling and structural factors sustain Luna’s lead in market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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