Nathaniel Moran’s commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+51 partisan rating and Donald Trump’s 74% margin there in 2024. As the unopposed Republican nominee and two-term incumbent, Moran benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the East Texas electorate on core issues. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Moran incorporates these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-01 House Election Winner
TX-01 House Election Winner
$45,127 KL.
$45,127 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Nathaniel Moran (R)
96%
Yolanda Prince (D)
5%
$45,127 KL.
$45,127 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Nathaniel Moran (R)
$5,321 KL.
96%
Yolanda Prince (D)
$39,806 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran’s commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+51 partisan rating and Donald Trump’s 74% margin there in 2024. As the unopposed Republican nominee and two-term incumbent, Moran benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the East Texas electorate on core issues. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Moran incorporates these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,127Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran’s commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+51 partisan rating and Donald Trump’s 74% margin there in 2024. As the unopposed Republican nominee and two-term incumbent, Moran benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the East Texas electorate on core issues. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Moran incorporates these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,127Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Nathaniel Moran’s commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+51 partisan rating and Donald Trump’s 74% margin there in 2024. As the unopposed Republican nominee and two-term incumbent, Moran benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the East Texas electorate on core issues. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Moran incorporates these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp