Redistricting ordered by a Utah court in late 2025 created a new UT-01 anchored in Salt Lake County, shifting the district to a Democratic-leaning seat that Kamala Harris would have carried by 24 points in 2024. This structural change prompted Republican incumbent Burgess Owens to retire rather than run on the revised lines, leaving Riley Owen as the GOP nominee after an uncontested or low-profile primary. Former Representative Ben McAdams, the most recent Democrat to hold the seat, won the Democratic primary decisively in June 2026 and now faces a November general election rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$42,110 KL.
$42,110 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$42,110 KL.
$42,110 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,649 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$36,462 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting ordered by a Utah court in late 2025 created a new UT-01 anchored in Salt Lake County, shifting the district to a Democratic-leaning seat that Kamala Harris would have carried by 24 points in 2024. This structural change prompted Republican incumbent Burgess Owens to retire rather than run on the revised lines, leaving Riley Owen as the GOP nominee after an uncontested or low-profile primary. Former Representative Ben McAdams, the most recent Democrat to hold the seat, won the Democratic primary decisively in June 2026 and now faces a November general election rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$42,110Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting ordered by a Utah court in late 2025 created a new UT-01 anchored in Salt Lake County, shifting the district to a Democratic-leaning seat that Kamala Harris would have carried by 24 points in 2024. This structural change prompted Republican incumbent Burgess Owens to retire rather than run on the revised lines, leaving Riley Owen as the GOP nominee after an uncontested or low-profile primary. Former Representative Ben McAdams, the most recent Democrat to hold the seat, won the Democratic primary decisively in June 2026 and now faces a November general election rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,110Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting ordered by a Utah court in late 2025 created a new UT-01 anchored in Salt Lake County, shifting the district to a Democratic-leaning seat that Kamala Harris would have carried by 24 points in 2024. This structural change prompted Republican incumbent Burgess Owens to retire rather than run on the revised lines, leaving Riley Owen as the GOP nominee after an uncontested or low-profile primary. Former Representative Ben McAdams, the most recent Democrat to hold the seat, won the Democratic primary decisively in June 2026 and now faces a November general election rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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