Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in the Washington 4th District House race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, where the party has dominated for years and Trump carried nearly 60 percent in 2024. Her August 4 top-two primary victory, in which she consolidated GOP support at 34.9 percent while Democrat John Duresky took second at 30.8 percent, reflected backing from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson. The open seat created by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse further favored the Republican nominee in this conservative central Washington district spanning Yakima, Benton, and surrounding counties. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for McKinney aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, a major scandal, or sharp national political shifts could still narrow the margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$54,328 KL.
$54,328 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Amanda McKinney (R)
92%
John Duresky (D)
8%
$54,328 KL.
$54,328 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Amanda McKinney (R)
$30,916 KL.
92%
John Duresky (D)
$23,412 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in the Washington 4th District House race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, where the party has dominated for years and Trump carried nearly 60 percent in 2024. Her August 4 top-two primary victory, in which she consolidated GOP support at 34.9 percent while Democrat John Duresky took second at 30.8 percent, reflected backing from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson. The open seat created by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse further favored the Republican nominee in this conservative central Washington district spanning Yakima, Benton, and surrounding counties. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for McKinney aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, a major scandal, or sharp national political shifts could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$54,328Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in the Washington 4th District House race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, where the party has dominated for years and Trump carried nearly 60 percent in 2024. Her August 4 top-two primary victory, in which she consolidated GOP support at 34.9 percent while Democrat John Duresky took second at 30.8 percent, reflected backing from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson. The open seat created by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse further favored the Republican nominee in this conservative central Washington district spanning Yakima, Benton, and surrounding counties. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for McKinney aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, a major scandal, or sharp national political shifts could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$54,328Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in the Washington 4th District House race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, where the party has dominated for years and Trump carried nearly 60 percent in 2024. Her August 4 top-two primary victory, in which she consolidated GOP support at 34.9 percent while Democrat John Duresky took second at 30.8 percent, reflected backing from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson. The open seat created by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse further favored the Republican nominee in this conservative central Washington district spanning Yakima, Benton, and surrounding counties. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for McKinney aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, a major scandal, or sharp national political shifts could still narrow the margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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