Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean after recent redistricting placed it in northern counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, Box Elder, and Rich. Moore secured the GOP nomination in the June primary by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, building on his three terms in Congress and endorsements from party leaders. Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed, faces significant structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Moore aligns with historical base rates for safe seats and Moore’s fundraising edge. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though none have emerged in the past month.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-02 House Election Winner
$15,889 KL.
$15,889 KL.
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,889 KL.
$15,889 KL.
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean after recent redistricting placed it in northern counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, Box Elder, and Rich. Moore secured the GOP nomination in the June primary by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, building on his three terms in Congress and endorsements from party leaders. Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed, faces significant structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Moore aligns with historical base rates for safe seats and Moore’s fundraising edge. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though none have emerged in the past month.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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