Recent court rulings restoring Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November 2026 election have anchored trader consensus around incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. The Missouri Supreme Court blocked the legislature’s mid-decade redistricting that split Kansas City and added rural counties to tilt the district Republican, a decision later upheld in federal proceedings. Under the prior boundaries, the district remains anchored in Democratic-leaning urban and suburban areas of Jackson County. Cleaver’s long incumbency and primary victory further reinforce the position, while Republican nominee Rick Brattin has described the restored map as difficult for his party. Late shifts in turnout or additional legal reversals before Election Day represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$30,150 KL.
$30,150 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
97%
Rick Brattin (R)
2%
$30,150 KL.
$30,150 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
$12,253 KL.
97%
Rick Brattin (R)
$17,897 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent court rulings restoring Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November 2026 election have anchored trader consensus around incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. The Missouri Supreme Court blocked the legislature’s mid-decade redistricting that split Kansas City and added rural counties to tilt the district Republican, a decision later upheld in federal proceedings. Under the prior boundaries, the district remains anchored in Democratic-leaning urban and suburban areas of Jackson County. Cleaver’s long incumbency and primary victory further reinforce the position, while Republican nominee Rick Brattin has described the restored map as difficult for his party. Late shifts in turnout or additional legal reversals before Election Day represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$30,150Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent court rulings restoring Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November 2026 election have anchored trader consensus around incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. The Missouri Supreme Court blocked the legislature’s mid-decade redistricting that split Kansas City and added rural counties to tilt the district Republican, a decision later upheld in federal proceedings. Under the prior boundaries, the district remains anchored in Democratic-leaning urban and suburban areas of Jackson County. Cleaver’s long incumbency and primary victory further reinforce the position, while Republican nominee Rick Brattin has described the restored map as difficult for his party. Late shifts in turnout or additional legal reversals before Election Day represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$30,150Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Recent court rulings restoring Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November 2026 election have anchored trader consensus around incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. The Missouri Supreme Court blocked the legislature’s mid-decade redistricting that split Kansas City and added rural counties to tilt the district Republican, a decision later upheld in federal proceedings. Under the prior boundaries, the district remains anchored in Democratic-leaning urban and suburban areas of Jackson County. Cleaver’s long incumbency and primary victory further reinforce the position, while Republican nominee Rick Brattin has described the restored map as difficult for his party. Late shifts in turnout or additional legal reversals before Election Day represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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