Recent Datafolha polling conducted September 14–16 shows incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) at 55% in the first round for Piauí governor, well ahead of Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 25% and all other listed candidates at 1% or less, a result that would secure victory on October 4 without a runoff. Fonteles maintains 70% approval for his administration, with 49% rating it ótimo or bom. These figures have remained stable since August surveys and reflect broad voter support ahead of the October 25 potential second round. The market's 98.8% implied probability for Fonteles aligns with this consistent polling lead and limited opposition momentum. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still alter outcomes before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRafael Fonteles 98.8%
Lourdes Melo <1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos <1%
Elizeu Aguiar <1%
$56,969 KL.
$56,969 KL.
Rafael Fonteles
99%
Lourdes Melo
<1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
<1%
Elizeu Aguiar
<1%
Geraldo Carvalho
<1%
Gustavo Feijó
<1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
Professor Gisvaldo
<1%
Professor Jurity
<1%
Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
Santiago Belizário
<1%
Rafael Fonteles 98.8%
Lourdes Melo <1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos <1%
Elizeu Aguiar <1%
$56,969 KL.
$56,969 KL.
Rafael Fonteles
99%
Lourdes Melo
<1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
<1%
Elizeu Aguiar
<1%
Geraldo Carvalho
<1%
Gustavo Feijó
<1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
Professor Gisvaldo
<1%
Professor Jurity
<1%
Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
Santiago Belizário
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Datafolha polling conducted September 14–16 shows incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) at 55% in the first round for Piauí governor, well ahead of Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 25% and all other listed candidates at 1% or less, a result that would secure victory on October 4 without a runoff. Fonteles maintains 70% approval for his administration, with 49% rating it ótimo or bom. These figures have remained stable since August surveys and reflect broad voter support ahead of the October 25 potential second round. The market's 98.8% implied probability for Fonteles aligns with this consistent polling lead and limited opposition momentum. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still alter outcomes before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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