Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.5%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Clébio Genuíno
1%
Rosi Aires
1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.5%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,794 KL.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 KL.
3%
Farah Mesquita
$153 KL.
2%
Clébio Genuíno
$287 KL.
1%
Rosi Aires
$222 KL.
1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,639Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$5,639Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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