Recent August CPI data at +0.4% month-over-month, driven by a 3.9% gasoline surge amid elevated oil prices from the Iran conflict, has kept trader focus on energy volatility and shelter components for the September reading. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 0.5% and 0.6% MoM, sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether core goods pressures from prior tariffs and AI-related demand will offset potential moderation in services or energy. The September 16 FOMC projections, showing 2026 PCE inflation near 3.7%, alongside cooling labor market signals, underscore the data-dependent path ahead of the October 14 release, where even modest deviations in gasoline or rent indices could shift the outcome among the leading probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật0.6% 35%
0.5% 32%
0.7% 24%
≥0.8% 7%
$22,376 KL.
$22,376 KL.
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
6%
0.5%
32%
0.6%
35%
0.7%
24%
≥0.8%
7%
0.6% 35%
0.5% 32%
0.7% 24%
≥0.8% 7%
$22,376 KL.
$22,376 KL.
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
$264 KL.
1%
0.1%
$257 KL.
1%
0.2%
$297 KL.
1%
0.3%
$565 KL.
4%
0.4%
$6,609 KL.
6%
0.5%
$10,491 KL.
32%
0.6%
$1,608 KL.
35%
0.7%
$744 KL.
24%
≥0.8%
$1,540 KL.
7%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at +0.4% month-over-month, driven by a 3.9% gasoline surge amid elevated oil prices from the Iran conflict, has kept trader focus on energy volatility and shelter components for the September reading. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 0.5% and 0.6% MoM, sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether core goods pressures from prior tariffs and AI-related demand will offset potential moderation in services or energy. The September 16 FOMC projections, showing 2026 PCE inflation near 3.7%, alongside cooling labor market signals, underscore the data-dependent path ahead of the October 14 release, where even modest deviations in gasoline or rent indices could shift the outcome among the leading probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,376Ngày kết thúc
Oct 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at +0.4% month-over-month, driven by a 3.9% gasoline surge amid elevated oil prices from the Iran conflict, has kept trader focus on energy volatility and shelter components for the September reading. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 0.5% and 0.6% MoM, sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether core goods pressures from prior tariffs and AI-related demand will offset potential moderation in services or energy. The September 16 FOMC projections, showing 2026 PCE inflation near 3.7%, alongside cooling labor market signals, underscore the data-dependent path ahead of the October 14 release, where even modest deviations in gasoline or rent indices could shift the outcome among the leading probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$22,376Ngày kết thúc
Oct 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data at +0.4% month-over-month, driven by a 3.9% gasoline surge amid elevated oil prices from the Iran conflict, has kept trader focus on energy volatility and shelter components for the September reading. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 0.5% and 0.6% MoM, sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether core goods pressures from prior tariffs and AI-related demand will offset potential moderation in services or energy. The September 16 FOMC projections, showing 2026 PCE inflation near 3.7%, alongside cooling labor market signals, underscore the data-dependent path ahead of the October 14 release, where even modest deviations in gasoline or rent indices could shift the outcome among the leading probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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