Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low, continue to drive ground beef prices higher despite policy efforts to boost imports. The BLS reported the August 2026 U.S. city average at a record $7.158 per pound, up 0.6% month-over-month and 7.9% year-over-year, reflecting limited domestic production forecasts near 24.9 billion pounds. Recent tariff relief on Brazilian shipments and reopened Mexican cattle ports have yet to offset the supply squeeze, while consumer demand remains resilient. USDA’s September WASDE trimmed 2026 beef output expectations further. The next BLS price release in mid-October will provide key data for resolution thresholds around $7–$10 levels, with trader consensus pricing in elevated probabilities of new highs through year-end amid ongoing herd contraction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$22,499 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
$7.000+
48%
$8.000+
19%
$9.000+
30%
$10.000+
8%
$22,499 KL.
$7.000+
$70 KL.
48%
$8.000+
$2,185 KL.
19%
$9.000+
$788 KL.
30%
$10.000+
$19,455 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low, continue to drive ground beef prices higher despite policy efforts to boost imports. The BLS reported the August 2026 U.S. city average at a record $7.158 per pound, up 0.6% month-over-month and 7.9% year-over-year, reflecting limited domestic production forecasts near 24.9 billion pounds. Recent tariff relief on Brazilian shipments and reopened Mexican cattle ports have yet to offset the supply squeeze, while consumer demand remains resilient. USDA’s September WASDE trimmed 2026 beef output expectations further. The next BLS price release in mid-October will provide key data for resolution thresholds around $7–$10 levels, with trader consensus pricing in elevated probabilities of new highs through year-end amid ongoing herd contraction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,499Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low, continue to drive ground beef prices higher despite policy efforts to boost imports. The BLS reported the August 2026 U.S. city average at a record $7.158 per pound, up 0.6% month-over-month and 7.9% year-over-year, reflecting limited domestic production forecasts near 24.9 billion pounds. Recent tariff relief on Brazilian shipments and reopened Mexican cattle ports have yet to offset the supply squeeze, while consumer demand remains resilient. USDA’s September WASDE trimmed 2026 beef output expectations further. The next BLS price release in mid-October will provide key data for resolution thresholds around $7–$10 levels, with trader consensus pricing in elevated probabilities of new highs through year-end amid ongoing herd contraction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$22,499Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low, continue to drive ground beef prices higher despite policy efforts to boost imports. The BLS reported the August 2026 U.S. city average at a record $7.158 per pound, up 0.6% month-over-month and 7.9% year-over-year, reflecting limited domestic production forecasts near 24.9 billion pounds. Recent tariff relief on Brazilian shipments and reopened Mexican cattle ports have yet to offset the supply squeeze, while consumer demand remains resilient. USDA’s September WASDE trimmed 2026 beef output expectations further. The next BLS price release in mid-October will provide key data for resolution thresholds around $7–$10 levels, with trader consensus pricing in elevated probabilities of new highs through year-end amid ongoing herd contraction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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