Christian Menefee holds a commanding lead in the TX-18 general election as the Democratic incumbent in a reliably Democratic Houston district. His position stems from winning the January 2026 special election to finish the late Rep. Sylvester Turner’s term, followed by a May 2026 Democratic primary runoff victory over longtime Rep. Al Green after Republican-led redistricting forced the two incumbents into the same contest. Significant outside spending, including from a cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC, bolstered Menefee’s primary effort. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield emerged from a low-profile March primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-18 House Election Winner
TX-18 House Election Winner
$16,180 KL.
$16,180 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Christian Menefee (D)
97%
Ronald Whitfield (R)
3%
$16,180 KL.
$16,180 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Christian Menefee (D)
$14,471 KL.
97%
Ronald Whitfield (R)
$1,709 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee holds a commanding lead in the TX-18 general election as the Democratic incumbent in a reliably Democratic Houston district. His position stems from winning the January 2026 special election to finish the late Rep. Sylvester Turner’s term, followed by a May 2026 Democratic primary runoff victory over longtime Rep. Al Green after Republican-led redistricting forced the two incumbents into the same contest. Significant outside spending, including from a cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC, bolstered Menefee’s primary effort. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield emerged from a low-profile March primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,180Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee holds a commanding lead in the TX-18 general election as the Democratic incumbent in a reliably Democratic Houston district. His position stems from winning the January 2026 special election to finish the late Rep. Sylvester Turner’s term, followed by a May 2026 Democratic primary runoff victory over longtime Rep. Al Green after Republican-led redistricting forced the two incumbents into the same contest. Significant outside spending, including from a cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC, bolstered Menefee’s primary effort. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield emerged from a low-profile March primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,180Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Christian Menefee holds a commanding lead in the TX-18 general election as the Democratic incumbent in a reliably Democratic Houston district. His position stems from winning the January 2026 special election to finish the late Rep. Sylvester Turner’s term, followed by a May 2026 Democratic primary runoff victory over longtime Rep. Al Green after Republican-led redistricting forced the two incumbents into the same contest. Significant outside spending, including from a cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC, bolstered Menefee’s primary effort. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield emerged from a low-profile March primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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