Mike Kennedy holds a commanding lead in Utah's 4th Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reinforced by redistricting that preserved a strong GOP tilt after the 2024 presidential results showed a 32-point margin. As the incumbent who secured the Republican nomination with over 78% at the state convention, Kennedy benefits from unified party support, substantial fundraising exceeding $800,000, and uncontested primaries on both sides. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee and Marine veteran, faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent a major late-campaign disruption such as a candidate health event or national political shift before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$42,280 KL.
$42,280 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Kennedy (R)
95%
Jonny Larsen (D)
4%
$42,280 KL.
$42,280 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Kennedy (R)
$16,189 KL.
95%
Jonny Larsen (D)
$26,091 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding lead in Utah's 4th Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reinforced by redistricting that preserved a strong GOP tilt after the 2024 presidential results showed a 32-point margin. As the incumbent who secured the Republican nomination with over 78% at the state convention, Kennedy benefits from unified party support, substantial fundraising exceeding $800,000, and uncontested primaries on both sides. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee and Marine veteran, faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent a major late-campaign disruption such as a candidate health event or national political shift before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,280Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding lead in Utah's 4th Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reinforced by redistricting that preserved a strong GOP tilt after the 2024 presidential results showed a 32-point margin. As the incumbent who secured the Republican nomination with over 78% at the state convention, Kennedy benefits from unified party support, substantial fundraising exceeding $800,000, and uncontested primaries on both sides. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee and Marine veteran, faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent a major late-campaign disruption such as a candidate health event or national political shift before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,280Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Kennedy holds a commanding lead in Utah's 4th Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reinforced by redistricting that preserved a strong GOP tilt after the 2024 presidential results showed a 32-point margin. As the incumbent who secured the Republican nomination with over 78% at the state convention, Kennedy benefits from unified party support, substantial fundraising exceeding $800,000, and uncontested primaries on both sides. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee and Marine veteran, faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent a major late-campaign disruption such as a candidate health event or national political shift before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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